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AD Torrejon vs Union Adarve - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Manzano S.
42'
Grande I.
45' Event
Munoz I.

AI Match Summary

AD Torrejon in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Torrejon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
AD Torrejon
30%
Draws
35%
Union Adarve
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • AD Torrejon have won more games recently than Union Adarve.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on AD Torrejon taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
AD Torrejon Clean Sheet 68%
Union Adarve Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Torrejon Union Adarve
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.76 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Union Adarve
4:0
Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs AD Torrejon
2:2
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Union Adarve
0:0
Aug 7, 2024 Club Friendly
Union Adarve vs AD Torrejon
0:0
Jan 31, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Union Adarve
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Torrejon Compare

Top Goalscorer Manzano S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Munoz I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Union Adarve Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Torrejon 59 / 100
Union Adarve 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Torrejon Union Adarve

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Torrejon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AD Torrejon scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Union Adarve's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: AD Torrejon remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AD Torrejon VS Union Adarve
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Torrejon

(Home)
04 Oct
AD Torrejon
4 : 0
Union Adarve
27 Sept
AD Torrejon
0 : 1
CD Mostoles
19 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
3 : 1
AD Torrejon
13 Sept
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Mexico
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
Page 1 of 7

Union Adarve

(Away)
04 Oct
AD Torrejon
4 : 0
Union Adarve
27 Sept
Union Adarve
2 : 2
CF Fuenlabrada
19 Sept
Mexico
1 : 1
Union Adarve
13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1
Colonia Moscardo
06 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes B
0 : 2
Union Adarve
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colonia Moscardo 5 3 2 0 14:5 11
2 Trival Valderas 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
3 CD Mostoles 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
4 CD Las Rozas 5 3 1 1 11:6 10
5 Cala Pozuelo 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
6 RC Alcobendas 5 2 2 1 11:9 8
7 Galapagar 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 CF Fuenlabrada 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Leganes B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
10 AD Torrejon 5 2 0 3 6:5 6
11 Union Adarve 5 1 3 1 6:8 6
12 Pozuelo de Alarcon 5 1 3 1 7:10 6
13 CP Parla Escuela 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
14 Mexico 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Real Aranjuez 5 1 1 3 9:13 4
16 San Sebastian Reyes B 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
17 Siello 5 1 0 4 5:13 3
18 Rayo Vallecano B 5 0 1 4 6:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)