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AD Torrejon vs Villaverde San Andres

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AD Torrejon play Villaverde San Andres in the Tercera RFEF - Group 7. It looks like a close match. Recently, AD Torrejon averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Villaverde San Andres averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, AD Torrejon won 0, Villaverde San Andres won 1, and they drew 4. Their last match on Mar 1, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for AD Torrejon and 1.25 for Villaverde San Andres. This points to a AD Torrejon double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
AD Torrejon
35%
Draws
27%
Villaverde San Andres
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AD Torrejon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Torrejon picked up more points recently compared to Villaverde San Andres.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
AD Torrejon Clean Sheet 19%
Villaverde San Andres Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Torrejon Villaverde San Andres
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 9 12
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.53 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Villaverde San Andres
2:2
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Villaverde San Andres vs AD Torrejon
0:0
May 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Villaverde San Andres
0:0
May 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Villaverde San Andres vs AD Torrejon
0:0
Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Villaverde San Andres
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Torrejon Compare

Top Goalscorer Arratia S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Villaverde San Andres Compare

Top Goalscorer Carballar A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Torrejon 38 / 100
Villaverde San Andres 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Torrejon Villaverde San Andres

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: AD Torrejon or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

AD Torrejon attacking → ← attacking Villaverde San Andres

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Torrejon scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Villaverde San Andres let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

AD Torrejon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Villaverde San Andres lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 36
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atl. Madrid C341810683:4664
2Trival Valderas341861050:3660
3AD Torrejon34179857:4660
4CD Las Rozas341681058:4256
5Leganes B341591063:3354
6Union Adarve341581148:4253
7CD Mostoles341491151:4551
8San Sebastian Reyes B341213945:3549
9Pozuelo de Alarcon3412121040:3348
10Galapagar3411131042:4746
11Mexico341291345:4945
12Siello341351639:4544
13Alcorcon B3411111237:3444
14Villaverde San Andres3410131132:4443
15Carabanchel349111430:3638
16Tres Cantos341032140:6533
17Parla34762129:6627
18Ciudad de Madrid34572231:7622