Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2011/2012

AD Valecambrense

Sun, Aug 28, 2011

2 - 3

03:00 PM

Esposende

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Esposende in this Taça de Portugal 2011/2012 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

AD Valecambrense

28%

Draws

22%

Esposende

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: AD Valecambrense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Form's been kind to Esposende lately — more wins on the board than AD Valecambrense.
Win probability leans AD Valecambrense's way, sitting at 50%.
Esposende arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Esposende, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 55%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

AD Valecambrense Clean Sheet 13%

Esposende Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AD Valecambrense	Esposende
Matches Played	5	29
Wins	1	8
Draws	0	2
Losses	4	19
Goals Scored	2.2	0.88
Goals Conceded	2.4	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	2.20	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.40	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2011 Taça de Portugal

AD Valecambrense vs Esposende

2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Valecambrense 48 / 100

Esposende 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AD Valecambrense Esposende

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AD Valecambrense scored in 80% of their last 5 outings.

Esposende let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Difficult form: Esposende registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Valecambrense VS Esposende

2.2 Goals Scored 0.88

2.4 Goals Conceded 1.88

100% Over 1.5 75%

80% Over 2.5 50%

60% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Valecambrense

(Home)

28 Aug

AD Valecambrense

2 : 3

Esposende

31 Aug

AD Valecambrense

1 : 2

JS Campinense

18 Nov

Nelas

2 : 0

AD Valecambrense

02 Sept

AD Valecambrense

6 : 1

SC Campomaiorense

07 Jan

AD Valecambrense

2 : 4

Varzim

Esposende

(Away)

03 Sept

Esposende

1 : 2

GD Uniao Torcatense

11 Sept

BSAD

5 : 1

Esposende

28 Aug

AD Valecambrense

2 : 3

Esposende

19 Sept

Esposende

0 : 2

Arouca

13 May

Uniao Lamas

1 : 3

Esposende

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Sporting CP-

TBD-

U. Madeira-

TBD-

Cruzado Canicense0

Famalicao3

1º Dezembro-

TBD-

Louletano0

Operario2

TBD-

Braga-

Vizela4

Despertar1

Marinhense0

AA Avanca3

Fabril do Barreiro2

Riachense0

TBD-

AD Fafe-

Trofense-

TBD-

Uniao Montemor2

CDR Quarteirense3

Esposende3

AD Valecambrense2

TBD-

BSAD-

Benfica-

TBD-

GD Sourense2

Melgacense1

TBD-

Portimonense-

Macedo de Cavaleiros4

CF Fao0

TBD-

Atletico CP-

Freamunde-

TBD-

Naval-

Juv. Evora2

Messinense1

CF Canical0

Carregado4

Serzedelo1

FC Alpendorada0

TBD-

Esperanca de Lagos-

Beira Mar-

TBD-

Maritimo-

Moreirense-

TBD-

Maria de Fonte1

SB Castelo Branco2

Pinhalnovense-

TBD-

Ribeirao0

AD Pontassolense1

Coimbroes-

TBD-

Oliveira de Frades-

Lagoa2

Aguia1

Aliados Lordelo1

AD Lousada2

Rio Ave-

TBD-

Mafra-

TBD-

Alba1

Sousense3

Gil Vicente-

TBD-

SC Vila Real1

1º de Maio Funchal0

Bustelo0

Torreense3

Tirsense-

TBD-

Santa Clara-

Beneditense3

SC Praiense1

TBD-

Sampedrense-

SC Espinho3

FC Madalena1

CU Micaelense0

Camara de Lobos3

GD Tourizense2

Tocha1

TBD-

Sao Joao de Ver-

Pacos Ferreira-

TBD-

Sanjoanense1

FC Cesarense0

Senhorim0

Chaves7

Feirense-

TBD-

Nacional-

Oliveirense-

TBD-

Academico Viseu-

Paredes5

Montijo1

GD Braganca2

SC Pombal3

Anadia1

SC Lusitania0

Santiago FC0

Amarante FC6

Electrico FC4

AD Limianos0

Alcobaca4

Tondela5

Gondomar-

TBD-

Sesimbra-

Sporting Ideal2

Fayal0

TBD-

GD Joane-

Vitoria Setubal-

TBD-

Sertanense1

Nogueirense0

Oliveira Hospital0

SC Mirandela1

Estoril-

TBD-

Porto da Cruz1

Sacavenense2

Bairro da Argentina3

Atletico SC2

AD Oliveirense2

Vila Mea3

Merelinense-

TBD-

SC Angrense-

Rebordosa2

Oliv. Bairro1

TBD-

Penafiel-

GD Alcochetense6

Bombarralense2

Prainha0

Penalva do Castelo3

TBD-

Leiria-

FC Pampilhosa3

Fatima0

GD Peniche0

FC Amares1

TBD-

Olhanense-

Aves-

TBD-

Sintrense0

Estrela Vendas Novas2

Machico2

Varzim1

Real SC0

Infesta2

Moura AC2

Grijo0

SC Vianense1

Cinfaes2

TBD-

Vitoria Guimaraes-

Covilha-

TBD-

SC Farense0

Caldas SC3

Marinhas-

TBD-

Guadalupe0

Lamego1

CD Portosantense2

C.F. Benfica1

Cerveira0

Casa Pia2

Pescadores Caparica1

Meda0

Camacha0

CD Ribeira Brava1

Leixoes-

TBD-

Arouca-

Estrela Calheta1

Santana0

CF Andorinha0

Aljustrelense2

Monsanto-

TBD-

Boavista Sao Mateus0

Redondense1

Padroense2

O Elvas CAD1

FC Crato0

Santa Maria FC6

FC Porto-

TBD-

Leca2

Vilaverdense FC0

TBD-

Pero Pinheiro-

Oriental2

SL Cartaxo1

TBD-

Oeiras-

TBD-

Academica-

1/64-finals

Sporting CP-

TBD-

U. Madeira0

Famalicao1

1º Dezembro2

Operario1

TBD-

Braga-

Vizela2

AA Avanca0

Fabril do Barreiro0

AD Fafe1

Trofense1

CDR Quarteirense0

Esposende1

BSAD5

Benfica-

TBD-

GD Sourense0

Portimonense3

Macedo de Cavaleiros1

Atletico CP0

Freamunde1

Naval3

Juv. Evora2

Carregado1

Serzedelo0

Esperanca de Lagos1

Beira Mar-

TBD-

Maritimo-

Moreirense3

SB Castelo Branco2

Pinhalnovense0

AD Pontassolense1

Coimbroes3

Oliveira de Frades1

Lagoa1

AD Lousada2

Rio Ave-

TBD-

Mafra1

Sousense2

Gil Vicente-

TBD-

SC Vila Real0

Torreense2

Tirsense2

Santa Clara1

Beneditense0

Sampedrense1

SC Espinho4

Camara de Lobos0

GD Tourizense1

Sao Joao de Ver4

Pacos Ferreira-

TBD-

Sanjoanense0

Chaves3

Feirense-

TBD-

Nacional-

Oliveirense5

Academico Viseu2

Paredes0

SC Pombal2

Anadia3

Amarante FC2

Electrico FC0

Tondela1

Gondomar1

Sesimbra0

Sporting Ideal2

GD Joane3

Vitoria Setubal-

TBD-

Sertanense2

SC Mirandela4

Estoril2

Sacavenense0

Bairro da Argentina1

Vila Mea2

Merelinense4

SC Angrense3

Rebordosa0

Penafiel6

GD Alcochetense3

Penalva do Castelo2

TBD-

Leiria-

FC Pampilhosa2

FC Amares1

TBD-

Olhanense-

Aves2

Estrela Vendas Novas0

Machico1

Infesta2

Moura AC2

Cinfaes1

TBD-

Vitoria Guimaraes-

Covilha4

Caldas SC0

Marinhas1

Lamego2

CD Portosantense1

Casa Pia0

Pescadores Caparica0

CD Ribeira Brava1

Leixoes2

Arouca1

Estrela Calheta0

Aljustrelense2

Monsanto5

Redondense1

Padroense0

Santa Maria FC1

FC Porto-

TBD-

Leca0

Pero Pinheiro2

Oriental1

Oeiras0

TBD-

Academica-

1/32-finals

Sporting CP2

Famalicao0

1º Dezembro1

Braga3

Vizela3

AD Fafe2

Trofense1

BSAD2

Benfica2

Portimonense0

Macedo de Cavaleiros1

Naval2

Juv. Evora2

Esperanca de Lagos0

Beira Mar0

Maritimo1

Moreirense3

AD Pontassolense1

Coimbroes0

AD Lousada1

Rio Ave5

Sousense2

Gil Vicente0

Torreense1

Tirsense3

Sampedrense1

SC Espinho1

Sao Joao de Ver2

Pacos Ferreira1

Chaves0

Feirense0

Nacional1

Oliveirense7

SC Pombal1

Anadia2

Tondela3

Gondomar1

GD Joane0

Vitoria Setubal0

SC Mirandela1

Estoril3

Vila Mea1

Merelinense2

Penafiel3

GD Alcochetense2

Leiria1

FC Pampilhosa0

Olhanense3

Aves4

Infesta0

Moura AC1

Vitoria Guimaraes2

Covilha4

Lamego1

CD Portosantense0

CD Ribeira Brava2

Leixoes1

Aljustrelense0

Monsanto1

Santa Maria FC2

FC Porto8

Pero Pinheiro0

Oriental0

Academica1

1/16-finals

Sporting CP2

Braga0

Vizela0

BSAD2

Benfica1

Naval0

Juv. Evora0

Maritimo1

Moreirense7

AD Lousada1

Rio Ave2

Torreense3

Tirsense3

Sao Joao de Ver0

Pacos Ferreira2

Nacional3

Oliveirense1

Tondela0

Gondomar1

SC Mirandela2

Estoril2

Penafiel1

GD Alcochetense0

Olhanense1

Aves1

Vitoria Guimaraes0

Covilha0

CD Ribeira Brava1

Leixoes1

Santa Maria FC0

FC Porto0

Academica3

1/8-finals

Sporting CP2

BSAD0

Benfica1

Maritimo2

Moreirense2

Torreense1

Tirsense0

Nacional1

Oliveirense2

SC Mirandela1

Estoril2

Olhanense3

Aves2

CD Ribeira Brava1

Leixoes2

Academica5

Quarter-finals

Sporting CP3

Maritimo0

Moreirense2

Nacional3

Oliveirense2

Olhanense1

Aves2

Academica3

Semi-finals

Sporting CP5

Nacional3

Oliveirense2

Academica3

Final

Sporting CP0

Academica1