Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ADA Jaen vs Cesar Vallejo

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Victor Montoya Segura, Jaen
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Duque L.
7' Event
Grandez G.
46'
Sub
Beltran A. In: Cano L.
Out: Beltran A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
ADA Jaen
20%
Draws
33%
Cesar Vallejo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ADA Jaen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: ADA Jaen at 1.03 per game, Cesar Vallejo at 0.97.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on ADA Jaen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
ADA Jaen Clean Sheet 68%
Cesar Vallejo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ADA Jaen Cesar Vallejo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 13 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Liga 2
Cesar Vallejo vs ADA Jaen
0:1
May 25, 2026 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs Cesar Vallejo
1:1
May 28, 2025 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs Cesar Vallejo
0:1
May 24, 2025 Liga 2
Cesar Vallejo vs ADA Jaen
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ADA Jaen Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Cesar Vallejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Grandez G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ADA Jaen 59 / 100
Cesar Vallejo 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ADA Jaen Cesar Vallejo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADA Jaen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ADA Jaen scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Cesar Vallejo conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: ADA Jaen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ADA Jaen VS Cesar Vallejo
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ADA Jaen

(Home)
25 Sept
ADA Jaen
0 : 0
Llacuabamba
13 Sept
ADA Jaen
1 : 0
Union Comercio
05 Sept
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 1
ADA Jaen
29 Aug
ADA Jaen
3 : 0
San Marcos
16 Aug
U. San Martin
3 : 1
ADA Jaen
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Cesar Vallejo

(Away)
05 Sept
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 1
ADA Jaen
29 Aug
U. San Martin
2 : 0
Cesar Vallejo
23 Aug
Cesar Vallejo
2 : 0
Llacuabamba
16 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
0 : 1
Cesar Vallejo
09 Aug
Cesar Vallejo
1 : 1
Pirata
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)