Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ADA Jaen vs San Marcos

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2025 Estadio Victor Montoya Segura, Jaen
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Acevedo G.
45'
Moyano D.
45'
Ventura F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2025 game between ADA Jaen and San Marcos finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
ADA Jaen
15%
Draws
0%
San Marcos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ADA Jaen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • ADA Jaen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives ADA Jaen a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
ADA Jaen Clean Sheet 68%
San Marcos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ADA Jaen San Marcos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 12 4
Losses 8 23
Goals Scored 1.03 0.33
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs San Marcos
3:0
May 17, 2026 Liga 2
San Marcos vs ADA Jaen
0:3
Aug 24, 2025 Liga 2
San Marcos vs ADA Jaen
1:1
Jul 20, 2025 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs San Marcos
0:0
Jun 13, 2025 Liga 2
San Marcos vs ADA Jaen
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ADA Jaen 95 / 100
San Marcos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ADA Jaen San Marcos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADA Jaen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marcos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Away concern: San Marcos has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

ADA Jaen found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

ADA Jaen VS San Marcos
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ADA Jaen

(Home)
25 Sept
ADA Jaen
0 : 0
Llacuabamba
13 Sept
ADA Jaen
1 : 0
Union Comercio
05 Sept
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 1
ADA Jaen
29 Aug
ADA Jaen
3 : 0
San Marcos
16 Aug
U. San Martin
3 : 1
ADA Jaen
Page 1 of 6

San Marcos

(Away)
29 Aug
ADA Jaen
3 : 0
San Marcos
23 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3
U. San Martin
16 Aug
Llacuabamba
3 : 0
San Marcos
09 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3
Carlos Mannucci
02 Aug
Pirata
3 : 0
San Marcos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Cajamarca 8 3 3 2 10:8 14
2 Moquegua 8 3 3 2 14:11 13
3 Cesar Vallejo 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
4 Tacna Heroica 8 2 4 2 11:12 10
5 Carlos Mannucci 8 2 2 4 15:19 8
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 8 7 0 1 18:4 21
2 Comerciantes FC 8 2 3 3 12:7 11
3 ADA Jaen 8 2 4 2 9:9 10
4 Santos FC 8 3 1 4 10:11 10
5 San Marcos 8 1 2 5 4:22 6
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Play Offs)