Sport Picks
Adama City vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopia
Premier League 2025/2026 
Match Events
42'
42'
Sani A.
54'
54'
Sisay E.
68'
68'
Daniel N.
AI Match Summary
Adama City in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Adama City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Adama City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ethiopia Nigd Bank lately — more wins on the board than Adama City.
- 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Adama City Clean Sheet 68%
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Adama City | Ethiopia Nigd Bank |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 12 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 15, 2026 Premier League
Adama City vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2:1
Jan 21, 2026 Premier League
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Adama City
2:3
May 25, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Adama City
0:2
Jan 28, 2025 Premier League
Adama City vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0:2
Mar 3, 2024 Premier League
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Adama City
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Adama City Compare
Top Goalscorer Sani A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sisay E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Compare
Top Goalscorer Daniel N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Adama City 41 / 100
Ethiopia Nigd Bank 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Adama City Ethiopia Nigd Bank
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Adama City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Adama City scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Adama City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Adama City VS Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Adama City
(Home) 02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
28 Jun
Adama City
0 : 2 Welayta Dicha
21 Jun
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0 Adama City
15 Jun
Adama City
2 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
30 May
Sidama Bunna
1 : 0 Adama City
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Adama City
0 : 2 Welayta Dicha
15 Jun
Adama City
2 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
21 May
Adama City
0 : 0 Welwalo Adigrat
09 May
Adama City
4 : 0 Shire Endaselassie
29 Apr
Adama City
1 : 1 Dire Dawa
Page 1 of 3
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
(Away) 03 Jul
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 2 Bahir Dar Kenema
26 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
20 Jun
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
15 Jun
Adama City
2 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
30 May
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
Page 1 of 6
26 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
15 Jun
Adama City
2 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
19 May
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
11 May
Ethiopian Insurance
2 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
30 Apr
Arba Menche
0 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
