Sport Picks

Ethiopia

Premier League

Adama City

0 - 0

Welwalo Adigrat

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Adama City

44%

Draws

20%

Welwalo Adigrat

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Welwalo Adigrat have won more games recently than Adama City.
44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Adama City Clean Sheet 23%

Welwalo Adigrat Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Adama City	Welwalo Adigrat
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	7	12
Draws	12	14
Losses	11	6
Goals Scored	0.88	1.13
Goals Conceded	0.88	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Premier League

Adama City vs Welwalo Adigrat

Possession: 58% - 58% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Jan 8, 2026 Premier League

Welwalo Adigrat vs Adama City

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Apr 30, 2025 Premier League

Adama City vs Welwalo Adigrat

Possession: 54% - 42% Cards: 4 - 2

1:1

Jan 5, 2025 Premier League

Welwalo Adigrat vs Adama City

Possession: 58% - 53% Cards: 3 - 0

0:3

Feb 16, 2020 Premier League

Adama City vs Welwalo Adigrat

Possession: 57% - 42% Cards: 4 - 4

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adama City 37 / 100

Welwalo Adigrat 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Adama City Welwalo Adigrat

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WEL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adama City's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Adama City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Welwalo Adigrat let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Adama City VS Welwalo Adigrat

0.88 Goals Scored 1.13

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75

50% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sidama Bunna	38	19	11	8	43:23	68
2	Negele Arsi Ketema FC	38	15	15	8	37:30	60
3	Mechal SC	38	14	15	9	44:31	57
4	Fasil Kenema	38	14	13	11	28:28	55
5	Ethio Electric S.C.	38	13	15	10	32:26	54
6	St. Georges	38	14	12	12	33:31	54
7	Welayta Dicha	38	11	18	9	37:31	51
8	Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)	38	13	12	13	40:39	51
9	Hawassa	38	12	14	12	37:32	50
10	Sheger Ketema FC	38	11	17	10	34:31	50
11	Bahir Dar Kenema	38	9	21	8	28:28	48
12	Hadiya Hossana	38	11	15	12	31:35	48
13	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	38	11	14	13	45:45	47
14	Ethiopian Insurance	38	10	16	12	30:31	46
15	Adama City	38	10	16	12	35:39	46
16	Welwalo Adigrat	38	10	16	12	32:36	46
17	Shire Endaselassie	38	9	15	14	24:32	42
18	Dire Dawa	38	9	15	14	27:41	42
19	Mekelle 70 Enderta FC	38	8	16	14	26:38	40
20	Arba Menche	38	7	14	17	30:46	35