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Adamstown Rosebud vs Belmont Swansea United

Australia Australia

NPL Northern NSW Adamstown Oval
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Gueli M.
38' Event
Newton R.
46' Event
Soper K.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Northern NSW game between Adamstown Rosebud and Belmont Swansea United finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Adamstown Rosebud
6%
Draws
90%
Belmont Swansea United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Belmont Swansea United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Belmont Swansea United come out ahead of Adamstown Rosebud on wins alone.
  • Model gives Belmont Swansea United a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Northern NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Belmont Swansea United have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Adamstown Rosebud Clean Sheet 11%
Belmont Swansea United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adamstown Rosebud Belmont Swansea United
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Adamstown Rosebud vs Belmont Swansea United
2:2
Jul 27, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Adamstown Rosebud vs Belmont Swansea United
0:2
Feb 13, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Belmont Swansea United vs Adamstown Rosebud
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adamstown Rosebud Compare

Top Goalscorer Soper K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gismero N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Belmont Swansea United Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueli M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Newton R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adamstown Rosebud 10 / 100
Belmont Swansea United 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adamstown Rosebud Belmont Swansea United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belmont Swansea United let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.

Adamstown Rosebud found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Adamstown Rosebud went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Adamstown Rosebud VS Belmont Swansea United
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Broadmeadow Magic FC18124249:2240
2Belmont Swansea United1795340:3032
3Weston Workers Bears1793534:2930
4Maitland1793533:2830
5Edgeworth Eagles FC1785434:2929
6Cooks Hill United1875636:3126
7Lambton Jaffas FC1864835:2922
8Valentine1854918:3619
9Newcastle Olympic1846833:3218
10Adamstown Rosebud1845925:3617
11Kahibah17421126:4114
12Charlestown Azzurri17421124:4414