Sport Picks
Adamstown Rosebud vs Charlestown Azzurri
Australia
NPL Northern NSW Adamstown Oval, Newcastle 
Match Events
76'
76'
Reay C.
86'
86'
Naylor C.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Northern NSW game between Adamstown Rosebud and Charlestown Azzurri finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adamstown Rosebud.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Adamstown Rosebud
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Adamstown Rosebud carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Adamstown Rosebud's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Adamstown Rosebud Clean Sheet 13%
Charlestown Azzurri Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Adamstown Rosebud | Charlestown Azzurri |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 3.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 3.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Adamstown Rosebud vs Charlestown Azzurri
2:0
Feb 22, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Charlestown Azzurri vs Adamstown Rosebud
2:0
Aug 3, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Charlestown Azzurri vs Adamstown Rosebud
0:4
Jun 7, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Adamstown Rosebud vs Charlestown Azzurri
2:2
May 26, 2024 NPL Northern NSW
Charlestown Azzurri vs Adamstown Rosebud
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Adamstown Rosebud Compare
Top Goalscorer Reay C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Naylor C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Charlestown Azzurri Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Adamstown Rosebud 84 / 100
Charlestown Azzurri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Adamstown Rosebud Charlestown Azzurri
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ADA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Charlestown Azzurri conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Adamstown Rosebud scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Charlestown Azzurri's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Adamstown Rosebud VS Charlestown Azzurri
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Adamstown Rosebud
(Home) 11 Jul
Maitland
3 : 1 Adamstown Rosebud
27 Jun
Edgeworth Eagles FC
3 : 2 Adamstown Rosebud
24 Jun
Kahibah
1 : 2 Adamstown Rosebud
20 Jun
Lambton Jaffas FC
1 : 1 Adamstown Rosebud
13 Jun
Adamstown Rosebud
1 : 5 Broadmeadow Magic FC
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13 Jun
Adamstown Rosebud
1 : 5 Broadmeadow Magic FC
30 May
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
16 May
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 0 Charlestown Azzurri
09 May
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 2 Belmont Swansea United
29 Apr
Adamstown Rosebud
1 : 2 Lambton Jaffas FC
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Charlestown Azzurri
(Away) 15 Jul
Charlestown Azzurri
0 : 5 Weston Workers Bears
11 Jul
Cooks Hill United
4 : 0 Charlestown Azzurri
01 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
7 : 1 Charlestown Azzurri
27 Jun
Charlestown Azzurri
1 : 3 Belmont Swansea United
24 Jun
Charlestown Azzurri
2 : 2 Cooks Hill United
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Cooks Hill United
4 : 0 Charlestown Azzurri
01 Jul
Newcastle Olympic
7 : 1 Charlestown Azzurri
21 Jun
Kahibah
4 : 1 Charlestown Azzurri
16 May
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 0 Charlestown Azzurri
02 May
Maitland
2 : 3 Charlestown Azzurri
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadmeadow Magic FC | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 49:22 | 40 |
| 2 | Weston Workers Bears | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 44:31 | 36 |
| 3 | Maitland | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 34:28 | 33 |
| 4 | Belmont Swansea United | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 42:35 | 32 |
| 5 | Edgeworth Eagles FC | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 34:29 | 29 |
| 6 | Cooks Hill United | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 36:31 | 26 |
| 7 | Lambton Jaffas FC | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 35:30 | 22 |
| 8 | Newcastle Olympic | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 38:34 | 21 |
| 9 | Valentine | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18:36 | 19 |
| 10 | Adamstown Rosebud | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 25:36 | 17 |
| 11 | Kahibah | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 28:46 | 14 |
| 12 | Charlestown Azzurri | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 24:49 | 14 |
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)