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Adamstown Rosebud vs New Lambton

Australia Australia

NPL Northern NSW 2025 Adamstown Oval
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Fajkovic D.
36' Event
Brideson M.
53' Event
Davies C.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Northern NSW 2025 game between Adamstown Rosebud and New Lambton finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adamstown Rosebud.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Adamstown Rosebud
11%
Draws
80%
New Lambton
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: New Lambton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • New Lambton demonstrates higher offensive output (2.25 avg goals) than Adamstown Rosebud (1.5 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for New Lambton.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL Northern NSW 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Adamstown Rosebud Clean Sheet 10%
New Lambton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adamstown Rosebud New Lambton
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.5 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Adamstown Rosebud vs New Lambton
2:1
Aug 6, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
New Lambton vs Adamstown Rosebud
0:3
Jul 3, 2024 NPL Northern NSW
New Lambton vs Adamstown Rosebud
2:1
Mar 16, 2024 NPL Northern NSW
Adamstown Rosebud vs New Lambton
2:2
Jun 17, 2023 NPL Northern NSW
New Lambton vs Adamstown Rosebud
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adamstown Rosebud Compare

Top Goalscorer Fajkovic D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Davies C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

New Lambton Compare

Top Goalscorer Brideson M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adamstown Rosebud 10 / 100
New Lambton 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adamstown Rosebud New Lambton

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adamstown Rosebud scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

New Lambton let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Adamstown Rosebud went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

New Lambton lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Adamstown Rosebud VS New Lambton
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Broadmeadow Magic FC22192150:1859
2Edgeworth Eagles FC22172350:1553
3Weston Workers Bears22162461:2550
4Lambton Jaffas FC2296737:2933
5Maitland2295842:4132
6Newcastle Olympic2287747:3831
7Charlestown Azzurri22661032:3424
8Adamstown Rosebud22721333:4723
9Cooks Hill United22721326:4723
10Belmont Swansea United22481034:4520
11Valentine22441428:6016
12New Lambton22141721:627