Sport Picks
Adamstown Rosebud vs Valentine
Australia
NPL Northern NSW Adamstown Oval, Newcastle 
Match Events
30'
30'
McShane Z.
48'
48'
Fajkovic D.
52'
52'
Reay C.
AI Match Summary
Adamstown Rosebud in this NPL Northern NSW matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Adamstown Rosebud.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Valentine
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Valentine lately — more wins on the board than Adamstown Rosebud.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular NPL Northern NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Adamstown Rosebud have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Adamstown Rosebud Clean Sheet 14%
Valentine Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Adamstown Rosebud | Valentine |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Adamstown Rosebud vs Valentine
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Valentine vs Adamstown Rosebud
0:3
Jun 25, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Valentine vs Adamstown Rosebud
2:4
Feb 21, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Adamstown Rosebud vs Valentine
3:2
Aug 3, 2024 NPL Northern NSW
Valentine vs Adamstown Rosebud
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Adamstown Rosebud Compare
Top Goalscorer Fajkovic D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Reay C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Valentine Compare
Top Goalscorer McShane Z.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Adamstown Rosebud 35 / 100
Valentine 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Adamstown Rosebud Valentine
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Valentine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Adamstown Rosebud scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Valentine has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Adamstown Rosebud remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Adamstown Rosebud VS Valentine
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Adamstown Rosebud
(Home) 16 Aug
Belmont Swansea United
2 : 3 Adamstown Rosebud
12 Aug
Weston Workers Bears
4 : 2 Adamstown Rosebud
08 Aug
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 2 Cooks Hill United
01 Aug
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 1 Valentine
11 Jul
Maitland
3 : 1 Adamstown Rosebud
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08 Aug
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 2 Cooks Hill United
01 Aug
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 1 Valentine
13 Jun
Adamstown Rosebud
1 : 5 Broadmeadow Magic FC
30 May
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 0 Newcastle Olympic
16 May
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 0 Charlestown Azzurri
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Valentine
(Away) 16 Aug
Valentine
0 : 0 Weston Workers Bears
08 Aug
Newcastle Olympic
1 : 2 Valentine
01 Aug
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 1 Valentine
25 Jul
Valentine
1 : 0 Charlestown Azzurri
12 Jul
Valentine
3 : 2 Kahibah
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08 Aug
Newcastle Olympic
1 : 2 Valentine
01 Aug
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 1 Valentine
03 Jul
Cooks Hill United
3 : 1 Valentine
13 Jun
Maitland
1 : 0 Valentine
16 May
Belmont Swansea United
1 : 1 Valentine
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadmeadow Magic FC | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 59:23 | 49 |
| 2 | Maitland | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 40:32 | 42 |
| 3 | Weston Workers Bears | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 48:33 | 41 |
| 4 | Edgeworth Eagles FC | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 41:31 | 39 |
| 5 | Belmont Swansea United | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 47:44 | 35 |
| 6 | Cooks Hill United | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 43:36 | 33 |
| 7 | Valentine | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 22:39 | 26 |
| 8 | Lambton Jaffas FC | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 38:33 | 25 |
| 9 | Adamstown Rosebud | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 34:45 | 24 |
| 10 | Newcastle Olympic | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 39:40 | 21 |
| 11 | Kahibah | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 35:53 | 20 |
| 12 | Charlestown Azzurri | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 25:62 | 14 |
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)
