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Adana 01 vs Catalca Spor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Korkut A.
39' Event
Simsek U.
90' Event
Kurt I.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 4 2023/2024 game between Adana 01 and Catalca Spor finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adana 01.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Adana 01
30%
Draws
12%
Catalca Spor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Adana 01

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Adana 01 come out ahead of Catalca Spor on wins alone.
  • Model gives Adana 01 a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Adana 01 Clean Sheet 20%
Catalca Spor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adana 01 Catalca Spor
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 8 11
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.87 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
Adana 01 vs Catalca Spor
3:1
Dec 10, 2023 3. Lig Group 4
Catalca Spor vs Adana 01
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adana 01 Compare

Top Goalscorer Korkut A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Koca I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Catalca Spor Compare

Top Goalscorer Simsek U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adana 01 85 / 100
Catalca Spor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adana 01 Catalca Spor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adana 01 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Adana 01 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Catalca Spor let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Adana 01 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Adana 01 VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Adana 01

(Home)
04 Oct
Adana 01
1 : 0
12 Bingol Spor
27 Sept
Ankara Demirspor
3 : 4
Adana 01
19 Sept
Adana 01
3 : 2
52 Orduspor
13 Sept
Sakaryaspor
2 : 0
Adana 01
06 Sept
Adana 01
3 : 3
24Erzincanspor
Page 1 of 7

Catalca Spor

(Away)
27 Apr
Catalca Spor
1 : 2
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
21 Apr
Adana 01
3 : 1
Catalca Spor
14 Apr
Catalca Spor
0 : 2
Sebat Spor Kulubu
07 Apr
Cankaya FK
1 : 1
Catalca Spor
03 Apr
Catalca Spor
0 : 0
Sultanbeyli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adana 01 28 20 3 5 60:27 63
2 Sebat Spor Kulubu 28 15 5 8 42:27 50
3 Musspor 28 12 11 5 41:29 47
4 Tokat Bld Plevnespor 28 12 9 7 32:27 45
5 Alanya 1221 28 11 10 7 42:33 43
6 Bursa Yildirimspor 28 11 9 8 39:34 42
7 Orduspor 1967 28 11 8 9 49:33 41
8 Balikesirspor 28 7 12 9 28:32 33
9 Izmir Coruhlu 28 8 7 13 34:39 31
10 Cankaya FK 28 6 13 9 26:37 31
11 23 Elazig FK 28 8 7 13 25:42 31
12 Nevsehir 28 8 6 14 19:31 30
13 Siirt Ozel 28 7 8 13 21:32 29
14 Catalca Spor 28 5 11 12 27:38 26
15 Sultanbeyli 28 6 7 15 26:50 25
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)