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Adelaide Atletico vs Modbury Jets

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Akimoto T.
46' Event
Tateishi S.
82' Event
Morris C.

AI Match Summary

The SA State League game between Adelaide Atletico and Modbury Jets finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Modbury Jets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Adelaide Atletico
15%
Draws
57%
Modbury Jets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Modbury Jets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Modbury Jets come out ahead of Adelaide Atletico on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Modbury Jets taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Adelaide Atletico Clean Sheet 11%
Modbury Jets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Atletico Modbury Jets
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.47 2.3
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 SA State League
Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Atletico
4:0
May 2, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Atletico vs Modbury Jets
1:2
Jul 30, 2022 SA State League
Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Atletico
0:1
Apr 30, 2022 SA State League
Adelaide Atletico vs Modbury Jets
2:2
Oct 2, 2021 SA State League
Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Atletico
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adelaide Atletico Compare

Top Goalscorer Tateishi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Modbury Jets Compare

Top Goalscorer Akimoto T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morris C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Atletico 10 / 100
Modbury Jets 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Atletico Modbury Jets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modbury Jets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adelaide Atletico scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Modbury Jets let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Adelaide Atletico has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Adelaide Atletico VS Modbury Jets
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Adelaide Atletico

(Home)
21 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
3 : 1
Adelaide Atletico
15 Aug
South Adelaide
1 : 3
Adelaide Atletico
08 Aug
Eastern United
4 : 2
Adelaide Atletico
01 Aug
Adelaide Atletico
2 : 0
Salisbury United
25 Jul
Modbury Jets
4 : 0
Adelaide Atletico
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Modbury Jets

(Away)
12 Sept
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
4 : 1
Modbury Jets
05 Sept
Modbury Jets
6 : 0
Adelaide Olympic
28 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
0 : 4
Modbury Jets
15 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 1
Modbury Jets
08 Aug
Modbury Jets
4 : 0
Adelaide Cobras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 22 15 2 5 56:26 47
2 Modbury Jets 22 13 5 4 46:20 44
3 Adelaide Olympic 22 14 1 7 42:25 43
4 Fulham United 22 11 4 7 42:31 37
5 Blue Eagles 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
6 Adelaide Atletico 22 11 3 8 40:34 36
7 Cumberland United 22 11 1 10 36:28 34
8 The Cove FC 22 7 5 10 29:36 26
9 Eastern United 22 6 4 12 25:44 22
10 Adelaide Cobras 22 6 2 14 22:45 20
11 Salisbury United 22 5 2 15 28:48 17
12 South Adelaide 22 4 3 15 26:62 15
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