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Adelaide Atletico vs Port Adelaide Lion

Australia Australia

SA State League 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The SA State League 2022 game between Adelaide Atletico and Port Adelaide Lion finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Port Adelaide Lion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Adelaide Atletico
15%
Draws
34%
Port Adelaide Lion
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Adelaide Atletico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Adelaide Atletico carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Adelaide Atletico's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Adelaide Atletico Clean Sheet 20%
Port Adelaide Lion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Atletico Port Adelaide Lion
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 1
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1.48 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2023 SA State League
Adelaide Atletico vs Port Adelaide Lion
2:2
May 6, 2023 SA State League
Port Adelaide Lion vs Adelaide Atletico
3:2
Jul 9, 2022 SA State League
Adelaide Atletico vs Port Adelaide Lion
1:2
Apr 9, 2022 SA State League
Port Adelaide Lion vs Adelaide Atletico
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Atletico 67 / 100
Port Adelaide Lion 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Atletico Port Adelaide Lion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adelaide Atletico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Port Adelaide Lion let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Adelaide Atletico found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Port Adelaide Lion lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Adelaide Atletico VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Adelaide Atletico

(Home)
21 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
3 : 1
Adelaide Atletico
15 Aug
South Adelaide
1 : 3
Adelaide Atletico
08 Aug
Eastern United
4 : 2
Adelaide Atletico
01 Aug
Adelaide Atletico
2 : 0
Salisbury United
25 Jul
Modbury Jets
4 : 0
Adelaide Atletico
Page 1 of 7

Port Adelaide Lion

(Away)
12 Aug
Adelaide Atletico
2 : 2
Port Adelaide Lion
05 Aug
Port Adelaide Lion
2 : 4
West Torrens Birkalla
15 Jul
Port Adelaide Lion
0 : 4
Playford Patriots
08 Jul
Para
1 : 3
Port Adelaide Lion
01 Jul
Blue Eagles
2 : 1
Port Adelaide Lion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Modbury Jets 22 15 3 4 75:30 48
2 West Adelaide 22 11 9 2 47:28 42
3 Blue Eagles 22 12 4 6 48:29 40
4 Para 22 12 4 6 35:28 40
5 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 22 11 4 7 45:34 37
6 Fulham United 22 9 6 7 30:28 33
7 Playford Patriots 22 9 3 10 31:43 30
8 Port Adelaide Lion 22 9 1 12 31:51 28
9 Eastern United 22 7 4 11 29:38 25
10 Adelaide Atletico 22 5 9 8 21:23 24
11 Adelaide University SC 22 3 4 15 21:50 13
12 Adelaide Hills Hawks 22 2 3 17 20:51 9
Promotion - SA State League 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League 2024 (Play Offs)