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Adelaide Cobras vs Adelaide Atletico

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Dawson J.
69' Event
Totani A.
71' Event
Vliet B.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The SA State League game between Adelaide Cobras and Adelaide Atletico finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adelaide Atletico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Adelaide Cobras
15%
Draws
51%
Adelaide Atletico
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Adelaide Atletico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Adelaide Atletico carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Adelaide Atletico's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular SA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Adelaide Cobras Clean Sheet 15%
Adelaide Atletico Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Cobras Adelaide Atletico
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.29 1.47
Goals Conceded 2 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Cobras vs Adelaide Atletico
2:3
Feb 28, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Atletico vs Adelaide Cobras
1:2
Jul 20, 2024 SA State League
Adelaide Atletico vs Adelaide Cobras
0:3
Apr 27, 2024 SA State League
Adelaide Cobras vs Adelaide Atletico
4:2
Jun 12, 2023 SA State League
Adelaide Atletico vs Adelaide Cobras
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adelaide Cobras Compare

Top Goalscorer Dawson J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stefanopoulos K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Adelaide Atletico Compare

Top Goalscorer Totani A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Cobras 27 / 100
Adelaide Atletico 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Cobras Adelaide Atletico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adelaide Atletico Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Adelaide Cobras found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Adelaide Atletico has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Adelaide Atletico's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Adelaide Cobras VS Adelaide Atletico
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Adelaide Cobras

(Home)
15 Aug
Adelaide Cobras
0 : 2
Salisbury United
08 Aug
Modbury Jets
4 : 0
Adelaide Cobras
01 Aug
Adelaide Cobras
0 : 2
Adelaide Olympic
25 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 1
Adelaide Cobras
18 Jul
Blue Eagles
0 : 0
Adelaide Cobras
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Adelaide Atletico

(Away)
21 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
3 : 1
Adelaide Atletico
15 Aug
South Adelaide
1 : 3
Adelaide Atletico
08 Aug
Eastern United
4 : 2
Adelaide Atletico
01 Aug
Adelaide Atletico
2 : 0
Salisbury United
25 Jul
Modbury Jets
4 : 0
Adelaide Atletico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 22 15 2 5 56:26 47
2 Modbury Jets 22 13 5 4 46:20 44
3 Adelaide Olympic 22 14 1 7 42:25 43
4 Fulham United 22 11 4 7 42:31 37
5 Blue Eagles 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
6 Adelaide Atletico 22 11 3 8 40:34 36
7 Cumberland United 22 11 1 10 36:28 34
8 The Cove FC 22 7 5 10 29:36 26
9 Eastern United 22 6 4 12 25:44 22
10 Adelaide Cobras 22 6 2 14 22:45 20
11 Salisbury United 22 5 2 15 28:48 17
12 South Adelaide 22 4 3 15 26:62 15
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)