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Adelaide Cobras vs Cumberland United

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Tuohy S.
89' Event
Swan J.

AI Match Summary

Cumberland United in this SA State League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cumberland United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Adelaide Cobras
15%
Draws
51%
Cumberland United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cumberland United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cumberland United lately — more wins on the board than Adelaide Cobras.
  • Win probability leans Cumberland United's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Adelaide Cobras Clean Sheet 10%
Cumberland United Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Cobras Cumberland United
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.31 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Cobras vs Cumberland United
0:2
Mar 13, 2026 SA State League
Cumberland United vs Adelaide Cobras
0:2
Jul 5, 2025 SA State League
Cumberland United vs Adelaide Cobras
4:1
Apr 12, 2025 SA State League
Adelaide Cobras vs Cumberland United
1:0
Jul 27, 2024 SA State League
Adelaide Cobras vs Cumberland United
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adelaide Cobras Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Cumberland United Compare

Top Goalscorer Tuohy S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Swan J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Cobras 10 / 100
Cumberland United 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Cobras Cumberland United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cumberland United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adelaide Cobras's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Cumberland United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Cumberland United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Adelaide Cobras VS Cumberland United
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Adelaide Cobras

(Home)
15 Aug
Adelaide Cobras
0 : 2
Salisbury United
08 Aug
Modbury Jets
4 : 0
Adelaide Cobras
01 Aug
Adelaide Cobras
0 : 2
Adelaide Olympic
25 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 1
Adelaide Cobras
18 Jul
Blue Eagles
0 : 0
Adelaide Cobras
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Cumberland United

(Away)
15 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 1
Modbury Jets
08 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 2
Adelaide Olympic
01 Aug
The Cove FC
0 : 2
Cumberland United
25 Jul
Cumberland United
2 : 1
Blue Eagles
21 Jul
Cumberland United
0 : 3
Heidelberg Utd
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 22 15 2 5 56:26 47
2 Modbury Jets 22 13 5 4 46:20 44
3 Adelaide Olympic 22 14 1 7 42:25 43
4 Fulham United 22 11 4 7 42:31 37
5 Blue Eagles 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
6 Adelaide Atletico 22 11 3 8 40:34 36
7 Cumberland United 22 11 1 10 36:28 34
8 The Cove FC 22 7 5 10 29:36 26
9 Eastern United 22 6 4 12 25:44 22
10 Adelaide Cobras 22 6 2 14 22:45 20
11 Salisbury United 22 5 2 15 28:48 17
12 South Adelaide 22 4 3 15 26:62 15
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)