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Adelaide Cobras vs Fulham United

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Adelaide Cobras play Fulham United in the SA State League. Fulham United are favorites here. Recently, Adelaide Cobras averaged 1.42 goals scored and 2.19 conceded. Fulham United averaged 2.41 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. In past meetings, Adelaide Cobras won 1, Fulham United won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Adelaide Cobras and 2.00 for Fulham United. This points to a Fulham United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Adelaide Cobras
15%
Draws
57%
Fulham United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fulham United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Adelaide Cobras picked up more points recently compared to Fulham United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 97%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Adelaide Cobras Clean Sheet 10%
Fulham United Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 87%
Second Half Goal 92%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Cobras Fulham United
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 10 21
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.42 2.41
Goals Conceded 2.19 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Cobras vs Fulham United
0:3
Apr 11, 2026 SA State League
Fulham United vs Adelaide Cobras
4:0
Jun 7, 2025 SA State League
Adelaide Cobras vs Fulham United
0:8
Mar 1, 2025 SA State League
Fulham United vs Adelaide Cobras
3:1
Jun 1, 2024 SA State League
Adelaide Cobras vs Fulham United
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adelaide Cobras Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Fulham United Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorsi J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Centofanti C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Cobras 27 / 100
Fulham United 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Cobras Fulham United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fulham United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Fulham United & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Adelaide Cobras attacking → ← attacking Fulham United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adelaide Cobras scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Fulham United let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Adelaide Cobras went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Fulham United lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 67
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Adelaide Croatia Raiders17111546:2334
2Fulham United17103437:2433
3Adelaide Olympic17101632:2331
4Adelaide Atletico1793533:2430
5Modbury Jets1685330:1329
6Blue Eagles1683528:2427
7Cumberland United1781829:2325
8The Cove FC1774624:2425
9Eastern United1744918:3316
10Adelaide Cobras17511121:3716
11Salisbury United17321219:3911
12South Adelaide17321217:4711