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Adelaide Cobras vs Salisbury United

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Matosevic A.
68' Event
Taylor M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The SA State League game between Adelaide Cobras and Salisbury United finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Salisbury United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Adelaide Cobras
15%
Draws
51%
Salisbury United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Salisbury United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Adelaide Cobras come out ahead of Salisbury United on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Salisbury United taking it.
  • Regular SA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Adelaide Cobras Clean Sheet 11%
Salisbury United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Cobras Salisbury United
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1.31 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.94 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Cobras vs Salisbury United
0:2
May 23, 2026 SA State League
Salisbury United vs Adelaide Cobras
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 SA State League
Salisbury United vs Adelaide Cobras
3:3
May 17, 2025 SA State League
Adelaide Cobras vs Salisbury United
0:2
Jul 9, 2024 SA State League
Adelaide Cobras vs Salisbury United
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adelaide Cobras Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Salisbury United Compare

Top Goalscorer Matosevic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Cobras 10 / 100
Salisbury United 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Cobras Salisbury United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salisbury United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Salisbury United conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Adelaide Cobras scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Away concern: Salisbury United has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Adelaide Cobras VS Salisbury United
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Adelaide Cobras

(Home)
15 Aug
Adelaide Cobras
0 : 2
Salisbury United
08 Aug
Modbury Jets
4 : 0
Adelaide Cobras
01 Aug
Adelaide Cobras
0 : 2
Adelaide Olympic
25 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 1
Adelaide Cobras
18 Jul
Blue Eagles
0 : 0
Adelaide Cobras
Page 1 of 7

Salisbury United

(Away)
15 Aug
Adelaide Cobras
0 : 2
Salisbury United
06 Aug
Salisbury United
2 : 3
South Adelaide
01 Aug
Adelaide Atletico
2 : 0
Salisbury United
24 Jul
Eastern United
0 : 3
Salisbury United
18 Jul
Salisbury United
2 : 3
Modbury Jets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 22 15 2 5 56:26 47
2 Modbury Jets 22 13 5 4 46:20 44
3 Adelaide Olympic 22 14 1 7 42:25 43
4 Fulham United 22 11 4 7 42:31 37
5 Blue Eagles 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
6 Adelaide Atletico 22 11 3 8 40:34 36
7 Cumberland United 22 11 1 10 36:28 34
8 The Cove FC 22 7 5 10 29:36 26
9 Eastern United 22 6 4 12 25:44 22
10 Adelaide Cobras 22 6 2 14 22:45 20
11 Salisbury United 22 5 2 15 28:48 17
12 South Adelaide 22 4 3 15 26:62 15
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)