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Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Adelaide Atletico

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Osterstock J.
40' Event
Chikwuba O.
44' Event
Chikwuba O.

AI Match Summary

The SA State League game between Adelaide Croatia Raiders and Adelaide Atletico finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adelaide Croatia Raiders.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
6%
Draws
4%
Adelaide Atletico
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Adelaide Croatia Raiders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Adelaide Croatia Raiders carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Adelaide Croatia Raiders taking it.
  • Regular SA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Adelaide Croatia Raiders have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Adelaide Croatia Raiders Clean Sheet 10%
Adelaide Atletico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Croatia Raiders Adelaide Atletico
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 1 4
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 3.25 2
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Atletico vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders
1:3
Mar 20, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Adelaide Atletico
5:0
Jul 8, 2023 SA State League
Adelaide Atletico vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders
0:1
Apr 21, 2023 SA State League
Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Adelaide Atletico
2:3
May 28, 2022 SA State League
Adelaide Atletico vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adelaide Croatia Raiders Compare

Top Goalscorer Chikwuba O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Osterstock J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Adelaide Atletico Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Croatia Raiders 83 / 100
Adelaide Atletico 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Croatia Raiders Adelaide Atletico

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adelaide Croatia Raiders found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Adelaide Atletico has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Adelaide Croatia Raiders has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Adelaide Croatia Raiders VS Adelaide Atletico
3.25 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide Croatia Raiders17111546:2334
2Fulham United17103437:2433
3Adelaide Olympic17101632:2331
4Adelaide Atletico1793533:2430
5Blue Eagles1793531:2530
6Modbury Jets1785431:1629
7Cumberland United1781829:2325
8The Cove FC1774624:2425
9Eastern United1744918:3316
10Adelaide Cobras17511121:3716
11Salisbury United17321219:3911
12South Adelaide17321217:4711