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Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Modbury Jets

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Matikulas I.
27' Event
Tassotti C.
37' Event
Zganec J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. The second leg ended 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
15%
Draws
38%
Modbury Jets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Adelaide Croatia Raiders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Adelaide Croatia Raiders's 2.33 goals per match outpaces what Modbury Jets have produced (2.3).
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Adelaide Croatia Raiders taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Adelaide Croatia Raiders, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Adelaide Croatia Raiders Clean Sheet 19%
Modbury Jets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Croatia Raiders Modbury Jets
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 18
Draws 2 5
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 2.33 2.3
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Modbury Jets
4:1
May 30, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Modbury Jets
3:1
Feb 28, 2026 SA State League
Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders
3:1
Jul 5, 2025 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Modbury Jets
2:1
Apr 11, 2025 NPL South Australia
Modbury Jets vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adelaide Croatia Raiders Compare

Top Goalscorer Matikulas I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zganec J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Modbury Jets Compare

Top Goalscorer Tassotti C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Croatia Raiders 42 / 100
Modbury Jets 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Croatia Raiders Modbury Jets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adelaide Croatia Raiders found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Adelaide Croatia Raiders stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Modbury Jets has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Adelaide Croatia Raiders VS Modbury Jets
2.75 Goals Scored 2
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Adelaide Croatia Raiders

(Home)
12 Sept
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
4 : 1
Modbury Jets
05 Sept
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
4 : 0
Blue Eagles
29 Aug
Blue Eagles
0 : 3
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
15 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
0 : 1
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
07 Aug
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
4 : 2
The Cove FC
Page 1 of 6

Modbury Jets

(Away)
12 Sept
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
4 : 1
Modbury Jets
05 Sept
Modbury Jets
6 : 0
Adelaide Olympic
28 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
0 : 4
Modbury Jets
15 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 1
Modbury Jets
08 Aug
Modbury Jets
4 : 0
Adelaide Cobras
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Adelaide Croatia Raiders -
TBD -
Fulham United 2
Blue Eagles 3
Modbury Jets -
TBD -
Adelaide Olympic 3
Adelaide Atletico 1
Semi-finals
Adelaide Croatia Raiders 7
Blue Eagles 0
Modbury Jets 10
Adelaide Olympic 0
Final
Adelaide Croatia Raiders 4
Modbury Jets 1