Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Adelaide Olympic vs Adelaide Atletico

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Totani A.
45' Event
Demasi A.
68' Event
Tateishi S.

AI Match Summary

The SA State League game between Adelaide Olympic and Adelaide Atletico finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adelaide Atletico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Adelaide Olympic
15%
Draws
42%
Adelaide Atletico
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Adelaide Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Adelaide Olympic come out ahead of Adelaide Atletico on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Adelaide Olympic taking it.
  • Regular SA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Adelaide Olympic have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Adelaide Olympic Clean Sheet 20%
Adelaide Atletico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Atletico
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 1 4
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Olympic vs Adelaide Atletico
3:1
Jul 18, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Atletico vs Adelaide Olympic
0:1
Apr 17, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Olympic vs Adelaide Atletico
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adelaide Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Demasi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Adelaide Atletico Compare

Top Goalscorer Totani A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tateishi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Olympic 42 / 100
Adelaide Atletico 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Atletico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adelaide Olympic scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Adelaide Atletico has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Adelaide Atletico has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Adelaide Olympic VS Adelaide Atletico
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Adelaide Olympic

(Home)
05 Sept
Modbury Jets
6 : 0
Adelaide Olympic
28 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
0 : 4
Modbury Jets
21 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
3 : 1
Adelaide Atletico
15 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
0 : 1
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
08 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 2
Adelaide Olympic
Page 1 of 7

Adelaide Atletico

(Away)
21 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
3 : 1
Adelaide Atletico
15 Aug
South Adelaide
1 : 3
Adelaide Atletico
08 Aug
Eastern United
4 : 2
Adelaide Atletico
01 Aug
Adelaide Atletico
2 : 0
Salisbury United
25 Jul
Modbury Jets
4 : 0
Adelaide Atletico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 22 15 2 5 56:26 47
2 Modbury Jets 22 13 5 4 46:20 44
3 Adelaide Olympic 22 14 1 7 42:25 43
4 Fulham United 22 11 4 7 42:31 37
5 Blue Eagles 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
6 Adelaide Atletico 22 11 3 8 40:34 36
7 Cumberland United 22 11 1 10 36:28 34
8 The Cove FC 22 7 5 10 29:36 26
9 Eastern United 22 6 4 12 25:44 22
10 Adelaide Cobras 22 6 2 14 22:45 20
11 Salisbury United 22 5 2 15 28:48 17
12 South Adelaide 22 4 3 15 26:62 15
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)