Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Adelaide Olympic vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Adelaide Olympic host Adelaide Croatia Raiders in the SA State League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Adelaide Croatia Raiders have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Adelaide Olympic have conceded 1 and scored 2.13. Head-to-head, Adelaide Olympic have won 3 to Adelaide Croatia Raiders's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 2.06, favoring Adelaide Olympic. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Adelaide Olympic
11%
Draws
80%
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Adelaide Croatia Raiders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Adelaide Olympic lately — more wins on the board than Adelaide Croatia Raiders.
  • Win probability leans Adelaide Croatia Raiders's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular SA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Adelaide Olympic Clean Sheet 10%
Adelaide Croatia Raiders Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Croatia Raiders
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 15
Draws 1 1
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 2.13 3.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Adelaide Olympic
3:1
Jun 8, 2024 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Olympic vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders
2:1
Mar 8, 2024 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Adelaide Olympic
0:1
Sep 4, 2021 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Olympic vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders
2:0
Jun 19, 2021 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Adelaide Olympic
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Olympic 10 / 100
Adelaide Croatia Raiders 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Croatia Raiders

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adelaide Olympic scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Adelaide Croatia Raiders's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Adelaide Olympic stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Adelaide Olympic VS Adelaide Croatia Raiders
2.13 Goals Scored 3.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Adelaide Olympic

(Home)
24 Jul
Adelaide Olympic
5 : 1
South Adelaide
18 Jul
Adelaide Atletico
0 : 1
Adelaide Olympic
03 Jul
Adelaide Olympic
1 : 0
Salisbury United
27 Jun
Modbury Jets
4 : 1
Adelaide Olympic
20 Jun
Adelaide Olympic
2 : 0
The Cove FC
Page 1 of 6

Adelaide Croatia Raiders

(Away)
25 Jul
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
1 : 0
Fulham United
18 Jul
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
3 : 0
Eastern United
04 Jul
Cumberland United
1 : 2
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
27 Jun
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
7 : 0
Adelaide Cobras
20 Jun
Adelaide Atletico
1 : 3
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 19 13 1 5 50:23 40
2 Adelaide Olympic 19 12 1 6 38:24 37
3 Modbury Jets 19 10 5 4 38:18 35
4 Fulham United 19 10 3 6 38:28 33
5 Cumberland United 19 10 1 8 34:25 31
6 Blue Eagles 19 9 4 6 32:27 31
7 Adelaide Atletico 19 9 3 7 33:29 30
8 The Cove FC 19 7 5 7 26:27 26
9 Adelaide Cobras 19 6 2 11 22:37 20
10 Eastern United 19 4 4 11 18:39 16
11 Salisbury United 19 4 2 13 24:42 14
12 South Adelaide 19 3 3 13 20:54 12
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)