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Adelaide Olympic vs Salisbury United

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Matteo S.

AI Match Summary

Adelaide Olympic in this SA State League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Adelaide Olympic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Adelaide Olympic
6%
Draws
4%
Salisbury United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Adelaide Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Adelaide Olympic lately — more wins on the board than Salisbury United.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Adelaide Olympic taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Adelaide Olympic Clean Sheet 16%
Salisbury United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Olympic Salisbury United
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Olympic vs Salisbury United
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 SA State League
Salisbury United vs Adelaide Olympic
1:4
Jun 7, 2025 SA State League
Adelaide Olympic vs Salisbury United
1:1
Mar 1, 2025 SA State League
Salisbury United vs Adelaide Olympic
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adelaide Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Matteo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Salisbury United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Olympic 84 / 100
Salisbury United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Olympic Salisbury United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adelaide Olympic's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Salisbury United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Adelaide Olympic remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Adelaide Olympic VS Salisbury United
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide Croatia Raiders17111546:2334
2Fulham United18103538:2733
3Adelaide Olympic17101632:2331
4Adelaide Atletico1793533:2430
5Blue Eagles1793531:2530
6Modbury Jets1785431:1629
7Cumberland United1891832:2428
8The Cove FC1774624:2425
9Eastern United1744918:3316
10Adelaide Cobras17511121:3716
11Salisbury United17321219:3911
12South Adelaide17321217:4711