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Adelaide Utd U23 vs Adelaide Comets

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia ServiceFM Stadium, Adelaide
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Thomas H.
63' Event
Stam L.
84'
Nasiri S.

AI Match Summary

The NPL South Australia game between Adelaide Utd U23 and Adelaide Comets finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Adelaide Utd U23
20%
Draws
40%
Adelaide Comets
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Adelaide Utd U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Adelaide Utd U23's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular NPL South Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Adelaide Utd U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Adelaide Comets Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Utd U23 Adelaide Comets
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.43 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Utd U23 vs Adelaide Comets
1:1
Mar 20, 2026 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Comets vs Adelaide Utd U23
0:1
Jun 7, 2025 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Utd U23 vs Adelaide Comets
3:0
Feb 28, 2025 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Comets vs Adelaide Utd U23
1:0
Jul 27, 2024 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Comets vs Adelaide Utd U23
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adelaide Utd U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Stam L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Adelaide Comets Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Utd U23 58 / 100
Adelaide Comets 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Utd U23 Adelaide Comets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adelaide Utd U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adelaide Comets has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Adelaide Utd U23's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Adelaide Utd U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Adelaide Utd U23 VS Adelaide Comets
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Adelaide Utd U23

(Home)
15 Aug
West Torrens Birkalla
2 : 1
Adelaide Utd U23
08 Aug
Adelaide Utd U23
5 : 2
Para
01 Aug
MetroStars
1 : 1
Adelaide Utd U23
25 Jul
Adelaide Utd U23
2 : 3
Sturt Lions FC
19 Jul
FK Beograd
0 : 2
Adelaide Utd U23
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Adelaide Comets

(Away)
15 Aug
Para
2 : 5
Adelaide Comets
11 Aug
Sturt Lions FC
0 : 0
Adelaide Comets
07 Aug
Adelaide Comets
0 : 1
MetroStars
25 Jul
Adelaide Comets
1 : 0
FK Beograd
17 Jul
Campbelltown City
1 : 0
Adelaide Comets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide City 22 14 6 2 44:16 48
2 West Torrens Birkalla 22 14 3 5 54:29 45
3 MetroStars 22 13 5 4 53:23 44
4 Playford Patriots 22 10 5 7 42:31 35
5 FK Beograd 22 10 3 9 35:30 33
6 Croydon 22 8 6 8 46:41 30
7 Adelaide Utd U23 22 7 8 7 33:32 29
8 Campbelltown City 22 8 5 9 35:36 29
9 Sturt Lions FC 22 8 3 11 35:36 27
10 West Adelaide 22 6 7 9 40:44 25
11 Adelaide Comets 22 5 5 12 25:38 20
12 Para 22 0 2 20 16:102 2
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)