Sport Picks
Adelaide Utd U23 vs Croydon
Australia
NPL South Australia ServiceFM Stadium, Adelaide 
Match Events
35'
35'
Pasia J.
55'
55'
Burkitt B.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this NPL South Australia matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
30%
16%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Adelaide Utd U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Adelaide Utd U23 haven't matched Croydon's recent run of results.
- Adelaide Utd U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Adelaide Utd U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Croydon Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Adelaide Utd U23 | Croydon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.91 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 26, 2026 NPL South Australia
Croydon vs Adelaide Utd U23
3:0
Mar 29, 2026 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Utd U23 vs Croydon
1:1
Jun 21, 2025 NPL South Australia
Croydon vs Adelaide Utd U23
4:1
Mar 23, 2025 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Utd U23 vs Croydon
3:2
Jun 15, 2024 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Utd U23 vs Croydon
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Adelaide Utd U23 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Croydon Compare
Top Goalscorer Pasia J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Adelaide Utd U23 83 / 100
Croydon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Adelaide Utd U23 Croydon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Adelaide Utd U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Croydon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.
Games between these two average 4.40 goals.
Adelaide Utd U23 scored in 71% of their last 31 games.
Recent resilience: Adelaide Utd U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Adelaide Utd U23 VS Croydon
0.88 Goals Scored 2.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Adelaide Utd U23
(Home) 15 Aug
West Torrens Birkalla
2 : 1 Adelaide Utd U23
08 Aug
Adelaide Utd U23
5 : 2 Para
01 Aug
MetroStars
1 : 1 Adelaide Utd U23
25 Jul
Adelaide Utd U23
2 : 3 Sturt Lions FC
19 Jul
FK Beograd
0 : 2 Adelaide Utd U23
Page 1 of 7
08 Aug
Adelaide Utd U23
5 : 2 Para
25 Jul
Adelaide Utd U23
2 : 3 Sturt Lions FC
04 Jul
Adelaide Utd U23
0 : 0 Campbelltown City
20 Jun
Adelaide Utd U23
1 : 1 Adelaide Comets
13 Jun
Adelaide Utd U23
0 : 0 Adelaide City
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Croydon
(Away) 22 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 0 Croydon
15 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 0 Croydon
08 Aug
Croydon
1 : 1 Sturt Lions FC
01 Aug
FK Beograd
4 : 3 Croydon
25 Jul
Croydon
2 : 2 Campbelltown City
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22 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 0 Croydon
15 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 0 Croydon
01 Aug
FK Beograd
4 : 3 Croydon
18 Jul
Adelaide City
2 : 2 Croydon
03 Jul
Adelaide Comets
1 : 4 Croydon
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide City | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 44:16 | 48 |
| 2 | West Torrens Birkalla | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 54:29 | 45 |
| 3 | MetroStars | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 53:23 | 44 |
| 4 | Playford Patriots | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 42:31 | 35 |
| 5 | FK Beograd | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 35:30 | 33 |
| 6 | Croydon | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 46:41 | 30 |
| 7 | Adelaide Utd U23 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 33:32 | 29 |
| 8 | Campbelltown City | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 35:36 | 29 |
| 9 | Sturt Lions FC | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 35:36 | 27 |
| 10 | West Adelaide | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 40:44 | 25 |
| 11 | Adelaide Comets | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 25:38 | 20 |
| 12 | Para | 22 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16:102 | 2 |
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)
