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Adelaide Vipers vs Port Adelaide Lion

Australia Australia

SA State League 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Adelaide Vipers in this SA State League 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Adelaide Vipers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Adelaide Vipers
20%
Draws
40%
Port Adelaide Lion
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Adelaide Vipers at 1.31 per game, Port Adelaide Lion at 1.27.
  • Adelaide Vipers are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Adelaide Vipers Clean Sheet 15%
Port Adelaide Lion Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide Vipers Port Adelaide Lion
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 1
Losses 18 21
Goals Scored 1.31 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.16 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2023 SA State League
Adelaide Vipers vs Port Adelaide Lion
4:1
Feb 25, 2023 SA State League
Port Adelaide Lion vs Adelaide Vipers
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide Vipers 57 / 100
Port Adelaide Lion 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide Vipers Port Adelaide Lion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adelaide Vipers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Port Adelaide Lion let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Adelaide Vipers found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Port Adelaide Lion's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Adelaide Vipers VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Adelaide Vipers

(Home)
16 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
4 : 1
Adelaide Vipers
09 Aug
Cumberland United
1 : 2
Adelaide Vipers
02 Aug
Sturt Lions FC
2 : 1
Adelaide Vipers
26 Jul
Adelaide Vipers
2 : 2
Adelaide Cobras
19 Jul
Pontian Eagles
3 : 1
Adelaide Vipers
Page 1 of 7

Port Adelaide Lion

(Away)
12 Aug
Adelaide Atletico
2 : 2
Port Adelaide Lion
05 Aug
Port Adelaide Lion
2 : 4
West Torrens Birkalla
15 Jul
Port Adelaide Lion
0 : 4
Playford Patriots
08 Jul
Para
1 : 3
Port Adelaide Lion
01 Jul
Blue Eagles
2 : 1
Port Adelaide Lion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 22 13 2 7 56:34 41
2 Para 22 13 1 8 53:42 40
3 Playford Patriots 22 10 6 6 50:31 36
4 Adelaide Cobras 22 11 3 8 36:29 36
5 Cumberland United 22 10 4 8 32:31 34
6 West Torrens Birkalla 22 10 4 8 37:37 34
7 Blue Eagles 22 9 5 8 39:37 32
8 Adelaide Atletico 22 8 7 7 39:36 31
9 Fulham United 22 9 2 11 32:36 29
10 Adelaide Vipers 22 7 5 10 42:49 26
11 Eastern United 22 6 4 12 33:56 22
12 Port Adelaide Lion 22 4 1 17 26:57 13
Promotion - SA State League 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League 2024 (Play Offs)