Sport Picks
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs HSC '21
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark De Vlotter, Heemskerk 
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between ADO 20 Heemskerk and HSC '21 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ADO 20 Heemskerk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ADO 20 Heemskerk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- ADO 20 Heemskerk carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans ADO 20 Heemskerk's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors ADO 20 Heemskerk here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
ADO 20 Heemskerk Clean Sheet 68%
HSC '21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | ADO 20 Heemskerk | HSC '21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 14 | 4 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 3.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2026 Derde Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs HSC '21
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Derde Divisie
HSC '21 vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
2:3
Apr 16, 2023 Derde Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs HSC '21
4:0
Oct 30, 2022 Derde Divisie
HSC '21 vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
1:4
May 22, 2022 Derde Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs HSC '21
4:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
ADO 20 Heemskerk 95 / 100
HSC '21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
ADO 20 Heemskerk HSC '21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ADO 20 Heemskerk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
HSC '21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.
Games between these two average 4.40 goals.
ADO 20 Heemskerk's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
ADO 20 Heemskerk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
ADO 20 Heemskerk VS HSC '21
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.25
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
ADO 20 Heemskerk
(Home) 05 Sept
SVZW Wierden
4 : 6 ADO 20 Heemskerk
01 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
29 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 0 Staphorst
22 Aug
Eemdijk
4 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
16 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1 USV Hercules
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01 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
29 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 0 Staphorst
16 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1 USV Hercules
08 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 0 Koninklijke HFC
03 Jun
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 7 IJsselmeervogels
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HSC '21
(Away) 23 May
VV Scherpenzeel
4 : 4 HSC '21
16 May
HSC '21
1 : 1 Urk
09 May
Staphorst
4 : 0 HSC '21
26 Apr
HSC '21
3 : 4 TEC
18 Apr
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0 HSC '21
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23 May
VV Scherpenzeel
4 : 4 HSC '21
09 May
Staphorst
4 : 0 HSC '21
18 Apr
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0 HSC '21
29 Mar
Rohda Raalte
3 : 2 HSC '21
14 Mar
Sportlust
5 : 1 HSC '21
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
