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ADO 20 Heemskerk vs IJsselmeervogels - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark De Vlotter, Heemskerk
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Beers J.
Assist: Dkidak A.
39' Event
Beers J.
40'
Schuurman J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-7, with IJsselmeervogels advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
ADO 20 Heemskerk
15%
Draws
51%
IJsselmeervogels
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IJsselmeervogels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • ADO 20 Heemskerk have managed 1.52 goals a game lately — IJsselmeervogels are scoring more at 1.79.
  • ADO 20 Heemskerk are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor IJsselmeervogels, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and IJsselmeervogels have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
ADO 20 Heemskerk Clean Sheet 11%
IJsselmeervogels Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ADO 20 Heemskerk IJsselmeervogels
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Tweede Divisie
IJsselmeervogels vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
1:0
Jun 3, 2026 Tweede Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs IJsselmeervogels
0:7
Aug 25, 2007 KNVB Beker
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs IJsselmeervogels
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ADO 20 Heemskerk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

IJsselmeervogels Compare

Top Goalscorer Beers J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dkidak A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ADO 20 Heemskerk 40 / 100
IJsselmeervogels 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ADO 20 Heemskerk IJsselmeervogels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

ADO 20 Heemskerk found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

IJsselmeervogels has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

ADO 20 Heemskerk has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

ADO 20 Heemskerk VS IJsselmeervogels
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ADO 20 Heemskerk

(Home)
03 Oct
VV DOVO
1 : 3
ADO 20 Heemskerk
27 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 5
VV Hoogeveen
20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
13 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 1
VV Scherpenzeel
05 Sept
SVZW Wierden
4 : 6
ADO 20 Heemskerk
Page 1 of 6

IJsselmeervogels

(Away)
03 Oct
Hardenberg
2 : 1
IJsselmeervogels
26 Sept
IJsselmeervogels
3 : 0
Rijnsburgse Boys
23 Sept
IJsselmeervogels
0 : 3
Gemert
19 Sept
Rohda Raalte
0 : 1
IJsselmeervogels
05 Sept
VV Kloetinge
0 : 2
IJsselmeervogels
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
ADO 20 Heemskerk 3
Lisse 0
Sparta Nijkerk 1
IJsselmeervogels 5
Rijnvogels 3
DVS '33 Ermelo 2
VVSB 1
Excelsior Maassluis 4
Semi-finals
ADO 20 Heemskerk 0
IJsselmeervogels 8
Rijnvogels 3
Excelsior Maassluis 4
Final
IJsselmeervogels 3
Excelsior Maassluis 2