Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ADR Jicaral vs AD Sarchi

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 Cancha de la Asociación Civica, Jicaral
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Cubero Y.
32' Event
Corrales B.
64' Event
Arrieta J.

AI Match Summary

ADR Jicaral in this Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored ADR Jicaral.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
ADR Jicaral
20%
Draws
28%
AD Sarchi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ADR Jicaral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • ADR Jicaral have won more games recently than AD Sarchi.
  • Model gives ADR Jicaral a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
ADR Jicaral Clean Sheet 20%
AD Sarchi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ADR Jicaral AD Sarchi
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 16 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.52 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs ADR Jicaral
0:1
Aug 9, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
ADR Jicaral vs AD Sarchi
1:1
Apr 5, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
ADR Jicaral vs AD Sarchi
3:2
Feb 21, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs ADR Jicaral
0:3
Nov 9, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs ADR Jicaral
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ADR Jicaral Compare

Top Goalscorer Corrales B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arrieta J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

AD Sarchi Compare

Top Goalscorer Cubero Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cruz E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ADR Jicaral 85 / 100
AD Sarchi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ADR Jicaral AD Sarchi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADR Jicaral Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Sarchi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.

Recent resilience: ADR Jicaral stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

ADR Jicaral's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

ADR Jicaral VS AD Sarchi
1 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ADR Jicaral

(Home)
27 Sept
AD Sarchi
0 : 1
ADR Jicaral
20 Sept
ADR Jicaral
1 : 1
AD Rosario
13 Sept
Grecia
1 : 1
ADR Jicaral
06 Sept
ADR Jicaral
2 : 0
Quepos FC
23 Aug
ADR Jicaral
4 : 1
Santa Cruz
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AD Sarchi

(Away)
27 Sept
AD Sarchi
0 : 1
ADR Jicaral
19 Sept
Cofutpa
1 : 2
AD Sarchi
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
06 Sept
AD Sarchi
2 : 1
AD Rosario
30 Aug
Grecia
1 : 0
AD Sarchi
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 14 9 3 2 25:12 30
2 Inter San Carlos 14 8 4 2 25:14 28
3 Quepos FC 14 9 1 4 30:21 28
4 Santa Cruz 14 4 5 5 19:17 17
5 Grecia 14 4 5 5 16:18 17
6 AD Sarchi 14 4 5 5 19:23 17
7 Cofutpa 14 2 4 8 14:27 10
8 Dep. Upala 14 0 5 9 15:31 5
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 10 2 2 33:10 32
2 CS Uruguay 14 7 2 5 25:20 23
3 Pitbulls 14 6 4 4 20:16 22
4 FC Moravia 14 5 4 5 19:19 19
5 Cariari Pococi 14 3 6 5 19:23 15
6 Aserri 14 2 8 4 15:28 14
7 Santa Ana 13 3 3 7 19:28 12
8 Carmelita 13 2 5 6 10:16 11
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)