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Adra vs Santa Fe

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2008/2009 game between Adra and Santa Fe finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Adra
20%
Draws
80%
Santa Fe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Santa Fe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Santa Fe are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Adra Clean Sheet 10%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adra Santa Fe
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 1 9
Draws 2 7
Losses 29 14
Goals Scored 0.41 1.1
Goals Conceded 3.03 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Santa Fe vs Adra
1:2
Nov 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Adra vs Santa Fe
2:3
Apr 12, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Adra vs Santa Fe
2:0
Nov 23, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Santa Fe vs Adra
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adra 10 / 100
Santa Fe 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adra Santa Fe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Fe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Defensive concern: Santa Fe conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Adra scored in 28% of their last 32 games.

Santa Fe lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Adra VS -
0 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Adra

(Home)
14 May
Ciudad de Vicar
3 : 0
Adra
07 May
Adra
0 : 3
Alhaurin
30 Apr
Motril
3 : 0
Adra
23 Apr
Adra
0 : 3
CD Baza
16 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 0
Adra
Page 1 of 7

Santa Fe

(Away)
09 May
Santa Fe
2 : 4
Velez
02 May
Almeria B
3 : 3
Santa Fe
18 Apr
Huetor Tajar
0 : 2
Santa Fe
11 Apr
Santa Fe
1 : 0
Loja
04 Apr
Ciudad de Vicar
2 : 2
Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Estepona CF 38 27 6 5 87:36 87
2 Almeria B 38 25 7 6 86:36 82
3 Motril 38 22 12 4 73:38 78
4 Malaga B 38 19 11 8 66:31 68
5 CD Baza 38 18 11 9 57:33 65
6 Comarca 38 18 6 14 51:41 60
7 Ejido 2 38 16 9 13 58:47 57
8 Velez 38 15 11 12 57:50 56
9 Loja 38 14 8 16 29:40 50
10 Granada Atletico Club de Futbol 38 14 7 17 44:52 49
11 Ciudad de Vicar 38 13 9 16 58:60 48
12 CD Ronda 38 13 9 16 51:55 48
13 CD Alhaurino 38 12 10 16 57:59 46
14 Arenas Armilla 38 10 14 14 41:44 44
15 Santa Fe 38 12 7 19 51:67 43
16 Adra 38 11 9 18 40:65 42
17 Vera CD 38 12 5 21 35:61 41
18 CP Granada 74 38 8 12 18 48:66 36
19 CD Imperio de Albolote 38 8 4 26 28:77 28
20 Melilla B 38 7 5 26 27:86 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)