Sport Picks

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Adra vs UD Carboneras

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UD Carboneras in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Carboneras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Adra
15%
Draws
85%
UD Carboneras
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Carboneras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Adra average 0.41 goals a game right now, well clear of UD Carboneras's 0.18.
  • Win probability leans Adra's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58.2%
Adra Clean Sheet 20%
UD Carboneras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adra UD Carboneras
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 2 2
Draws 2 1
Losses 30 30
Goals Scored 0.41 0.18
Goals Conceded 2.91 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Adra vs UD Carboneras
0:3
Oct 12, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs Adra
1:1
Feb 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Adra vs UD Carboneras
2:3
Oct 10, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs Adra
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adra 42 / 100
UD Carboneras 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adra UD Carboneras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Carboneras let in goals in 94% of their last 33 matches.

Difficult form: UD Carboneras registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Adra found the back of the net in 29% of recent matches (34 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS UD Carboneras
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Adra

(Home)
14 May
Ciudad de Vicar
3 : 0
Adra
07 May
Adra
0 : 3
Alhaurin
30 Apr
Motril
3 : 0
Adra
23 Apr
Adra
0 : 3
CD Baza
16 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 0
Adra
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UD Carboneras

(Away)
06 May
Marbella
3 : 0
UD Carboneras
01 May
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Comarca
22 Apr
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Ciudad de Vicar
15 Apr
CD Nerja
3 : 0
UD Carboneras
08 Apr
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Arenas Armilla
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mancha 36 20 8 8 53:26 68
2 Motril 36 18 12 6 54:24 66
3 El Palo 36 19 6 11 59:44 63
4 Almeria B 36 17 10 9 62:37 61
5 CD Ronda 36 17 9 10 64:51 60
6 Malaga B 36 16 11 9 56:44 59
7 Comarca 36 17 6 13 52:34 57
8 Ciudad de Vicar 36 13 14 9 52:48 53
9 Loja 36 13 10 13 42:40 49
10 Antequera 36 11 14 11 43:38 47
11 Velez 36 14 5 17 50:52 47
12 CD Alhaurino 36 12 9 15 53:54 45
13 Adra 36 12 9 15 47:59 45
14 Santa Fe 36 11 8 17 40:55 41
15 UD Carboneras 36 10 8 18 43:63 38
16 Huetor Tajar 36 11 5 20 44:67 38
17 CD Baza 36 9 10 17 36:54 37
18 Arenas Armilla 36 9 8 19 33:63 35
19 Ejido 2 19 7 3 9 21:22 24
20 Vera CD 19 1 7 11 17:46 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)