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Adra vs Velez

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010
Adra Logo

Adra

2 - 0
FT
Velez Logo

Velez

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010 game between Adra and Velez finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Adra
15%
Draws
85%
Velez
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Velez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Velez carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Adra a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Adra Clean Sheet 20%
Velez Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adra Velez
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 0 5
Draws 2 11
Losses 28 16
Goals Scored 0.3 0.91
Goals Conceded 3.1 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs Adra
3:0
Nov 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Adra vs Velez
1:1
Jan 10, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Adra vs Velez
2:0
Sep 5, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs Adra
1:2
Jan 18, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Adra vs Velez
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adra 42 / 100
Velez 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adra Velez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Velez's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Away concern: Velez has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Adra found the back of the net in 23% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Velez
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Adra

(Home)
14 May
Ciudad de Vicar
3 : 0
Adra
07 May
Adra
0 : 3
Alhaurin
30 Apr
Motril
3 : 0
Adra
23 Apr
Adra
0 : 3
CD Baza
16 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 0
Adra
Page 1 of 6

Velez

(Away)
05 May
UCAM Murcia
9 : 0
Velez
28 Apr
Velez
2 : 6
Marbella
21 Apr
Velez
0 : 1
Sevilla B
14 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 0
Velez
07 Apr
Velez
0 : 1
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mancha 36 20 8 8 53:26 68
2 Motril 36 18 12 6 54:24 66
3 El Palo 36 19 6 11 59:44 63
4 Almeria B 36 17 10 9 62:37 61
5 CD Ronda 36 17 9 10 64:51 60
6 Malaga B 36 16 11 9 56:44 59
7 Comarca 36 17 6 13 52:34 57
8 Ciudad de Vicar 36 13 14 9 52:48 53
9 Loja 36 13 10 13 42:40 49
10 Antequera 36 11 14 11 43:38 47
11 Velez 36 14 5 17 50:52 47
12 CD Alhaurino 36 12 9 15 53:54 45
13 Adra 36 12 9 15 47:59 45
14 Santa Fe 36 11 8 17 40:55 41
15 UD Carboneras 36 10 8 18 43:63 38
16 Huetor Tajar 36 11 5 20 44:67 38
17 CD Baza 36 9 10 17 36:54 37
18 Arenas Armilla 36 9 8 19 33:63 35
19 Ejido 2 19 7 3 9 21:22 24
20 Vera CD 19 1 7 11 17:46 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)