Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Adrense vs Ciliverghe Mazzano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ciliverghe Mazzano in this Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ciliverghe Mazzano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Adrense
30%
Draws
12%
Ciliverghe Mazzano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Adrense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Adrense lately — more wins on the board than Ciliverghe Mazzano.
  • Win probability leans Adrense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Adrense Clean Sheet 68%
Ciliverghe Mazzano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adrense Ciliverghe Mazzano
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 12 6
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 1.43 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.4 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Adrense vs Ciliverghe Mazzano
1:2
Nov 4, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Ciliverghe Mazzano vs Adrense
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adrense 95 / 100
Ciliverghe Mazzano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adrense Ciliverghe Mazzano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adrense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciliverghe Mazzano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Adrense scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Adrense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ciliverghe Mazzano
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Adrense

(Home)
05 May
Adrense
4 : 2
Reggiana
28 Apr
San Marino Calcio
1 : 2
Adrense
18 Apr
Modena
1 : 0
Adrense
14 Apr
Adrense
2 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
07 Apr
Sasso Marconi
0 : 0
Adrense
Page 1 of 6

Ciliverghe Mazzano

(Away)
04 May
Pro Sesto
2 : 1
Ciliverghe Mazzano
27 Apr
Ciliverghe Mazzano
1 : 1
Ospitaletto
17 Apr
Folgore Caratese
5 : 0
Ciliverghe Mazzano
13 Apr
Ciliverghe Mazzano
0 : 0
Sant'Angelo
06 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 0
Ciliverghe Mazzano
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pergolettese 34 22 7 5 62:32 73
2 Modena 34 21 10 3 60:27 73
3 Reggiana 34 19 9 6 57:28 66
4 Fanfulla 34 16 9 9 58:52 57
5 Fiorenzuola 34 16 8 10 52:31 56
6 Crema 34 12 13 9 52:50 49
7 Adrense 34 12 11 11 45:45 47
8 Vigor Carpaneto 34 11 14 9 42:35 47
9 Axys Zola 34 11 8 15 40:45 41
10 Ciliverghe Mazzano 34 11 8 15 38:48 41
11 Lentigione 34 8 15 11 34:36 39
12 Desenzano Calvina 34 8 15 11 40:51 39
13 Pavia 34 9 9 16 32:46 36
14 Mezzolara 34 7 14 13 39:50 35
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 10 16 31:50 34
16 San Marino Calcio 34 5 16 13 24:32 31
17 USD Classe 1974 34 6 12 16 25:51 30
18 OltrepoVoghera 34 3 14 17 22:44 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Play Offs)