Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group D 2018/2019

Adrense

2 - 1

Desenzano Calvina

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 game between Adrense and Desenzano Calvina finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adrense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Adrense

40%

Draws

29%

Desenzano Calvina

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Desenzano Calvina come out ahead of Adrense on wins alone.
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
Regular Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Adrense Clean Sheet 17%

Desenzano Calvina Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Adrense	Desenzano Calvina
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	12	20
Draws	8	8
Losses	10	4
Goals Scored	0	1.75
Goals Conceded	0	0.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2019 Serie D - Group D

Adrense vs Desenzano Calvina

Possession: 47% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Dec 9, 2018 Serie D - Group D

Desenzano Calvina vs Adrense

Possession: 49% - 59% Cards: 3 - 0

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adrense 31 / 100

Desenzano Calvina 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Adrense Desenzano Calvina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Adrense scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Adrense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Desenzano Calvina let in goals in 50% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Desenzano Calvina

0 Goals Scored 1.75

0 Goals Conceded 0.5

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pergolettese	34	22	7	5	62:32	73
2	Modena	34	21	10	3	60:27	73
3	Reggiana	34	19	9	6	57:28	66
4	Fanfulla	34	16	9	9	58:52	57
5	Fiorenzuola	34	16	8	10	52:31	56
6	Crema	34	12	13	9	52:50	49
7	Adrense	34	12	11	11	45:45	47
8	Vigor Carpaneto	34	11	14	9	42:35	47
9	Axys Zola	34	11	8	15	40:45	41
10	Ciliverghe Mazzano	34	11	8	15	38:48	41
11	Lentigione	34	8	15	11	34:36	39
12	Desenzano Calvina	34	8	15	11	40:51	39
13	Pavia	34	9	9	16	32:46	36
14	Mezzolara	34	7	14	13	39:50	35
15	Sasso Marconi	34	8	10	16	31:50	34
16	San Marino Calcio	34	5	16	13	24:32	31
17	USD Classe 1974	34	6	12	16	25:51	30
18	OltrepoVoghera	34	3	14	17	22:44	23