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Adrense vs Fiorenzuola

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Adrense
20%
Draws
7%
Fiorenzuola
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Adrense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Adrense lately — more wins on the board than Fiorenzuola.
  • Model gives Adrense a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Adrense Clean Sheet 20%
Fiorenzuola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adrense Fiorenzuola
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 5
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 1.43 0.65
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Adrense vs Fiorenzuola
0:0
Nov 25, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Fiorenzuola vs Adrense
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adrense 85 / 100
Fiorenzuola 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adrense Fiorenzuola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adrense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fiorenzuola conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Adrense's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Adrense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fiorenzuola
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Adrense

(Home)
05 May
Adrense
4 : 2
Reggiana
28 Apr
San Marino Calcio
1 : 2
Adrense
18 Apr
Modena
1 : 0
Adrense
14 Apr
Adrense
2 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
07 Apr
Sasso Marconi
0 : 0
Adrense
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Fiorenzuola

(Away)
27 Sept
Fiorenzuola
1 : 1
Caldiero Terme
20 Sept
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
16 Sept
Fiorenzuola
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
13 Sept
Nibbiano & Valtidone
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
06 Sept
Fiorenzuola
0 : 3
Scanzorosciate
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pergolettese 34 22 7 5 62:32 73
2 Modena 34 21 10 3 60:27 73
3 Reggiana 34 19 9 6 57:28 66
4 Fanfulla 34 16 9 9 58:52 57
5 Fiorenzuola 34 16 8 10 52:31 56
6 Crema 34 12 13 9 52:50 49
7 Adrense 34 12 11 11 45:45 47
8 Vigor Carpaneto 34 11 14 9 42:35 47
9 Axys Zola 34 11 8 15 40:45 41
10 Ciliverghe Mazzano 34 11 8 15 38:48 41
11 Lentigione 34 8 15 11 34:36 39
12 Desenzano Calvina 34 8 15 11 40:51 39
13 Pavia 34 9 9 16 32:46 36
14 Mezzolara 34 7 14 13 39:50 35
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 10 16 31:50 34
16 San Marino Calcio 34 5 16 13 24:32 31
17 USD Classe 1974 34 6 12 16 25:51 30
18 OltrepoVoghera 34 3 14 17 22:44 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Play Offs)