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Adriese vs Cartigliano Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Maniero L.
14' Event
Gioe B.
21' Event
Forapani M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Adriese
20%
Draws
80%
Cartigliano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cartigliano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Cartigliano average 1.47 goals a game right now, well clear of Adriese's 1.07.
  • Model gives Cartigliano a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Adriese Clean Sheet 12%
Cartigliano Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adriese Cartigliano
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 12
Losses 24 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Cartigliano vs Adriese
3:2
Dec 11, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Adriese vs Cartigliano
4:4
Mar 30, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Adriese vs Cartigliano
2:1
Nov 14, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Cartigliano vs Adriese
0:0
Mar 28, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Adriese vs Cartigliano
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adriese Compare

Top Goalscorer Gioe B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Maniero L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Cartigliano Compare

Top Goalscorer Dixon D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Miniati M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adriese 10 / 100
Cartigliano 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adriese Cartigliano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cartigliano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartigliano has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Adriese's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 41 recent games.

Away concern: Cartigliano has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Adriese VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Adriese

(Home)
03 May
Adriese
0 : 4
Brian Lignano
26 Apr
Clodiense
2 : 1
Adriese
19 Apr
Adriese
0 : 1
Campodarsego
11 Apr
Calvi Noale
2 : 0
Adriese
02 Apr
Adriese
0 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
Page 1 of 9

Cartigliano

(Away)
07 May
Cartigliano
1 : 1
Torviscosa
30 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
2 : 0
Cartigliano
23 Apr
Cartigliano
3 : 2
Adriese
16 Apr
Villafranca
1 : 1
Cartigliano
06 Apr
Cartigliano
0 : 1
Montebelluna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Legnago Salus 34 17 9 8 48:26 60
2 Clodiense 34 15 13 6 46:31 58
3 Adriese 34 14 14 6 54:38 56
4 Campodarsego 34 14 12 8 50:40 54
5 Luparense FC 34 13 14 7 49:34 53
6 Virtus Bolzano 34 13 14 7 53:43 53
7 Este 34 13 11 10 47:39 50
8 Cjarlins Muzane 34 11 15 8 38:36 48
9 Caldiero Terme 34 12 12 10 42:41 48
10 Cartigliano 34 11 13 10 47:50 46
11 Mestre 34 12 7 15 46:42 43
12 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 11 10 13 42:47 43
13 Montecchio Maggiore 34 10 9 15 50:55 39
14 Torviscosa 34 8 12 14 31:46 36
15 Portogruaro 34 9 8 17 36:56 35
16 Villafranca 34 8 10 16 35:46 34
17 Montebelluna 34 8 7 19 35:61 31
18 Levico Terme 34 5 14 15 23:41 29
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 (Play Out)