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Adriese vs Conegliano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Zigoni G.
36' Event
Zigoni G.
72' Event
Fyda S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 game between Adriese and Conegliano finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Conegliano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Adriese
20%
Draws
80%
Conegliano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Conegliano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Conegliano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Conegliano a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Adriese Clean Sheet 16%
Conegliano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adriese Conegliano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 13
Draws 4 10
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 0.73 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Adriese vs Conegliano
0:4
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Conegliano vs Adriese
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adriese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Conegliano Compare

Top Goalscorer Zigoni G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fyda S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adriese 10 / 100
Conegliano 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adriese Conegliano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Conegliano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conegliano has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Adriese's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Conegliano registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Adriese VS Conegliano
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Adriese

(Home)
03 May
Adriese
0 : 4
Brian Lignano
26 Apr
Clodiense
2 : 1
Adriese
19 Apr
Adriese
0 : 1
Campodarsego
11 Apr
Calvi Noale
2 : 0
Adriese
02 Apr
Adriese
0 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
Page 1 of 6

Conegliano

(Away)
03 May
Conegliano
0 : 1
Altavilla
26 Apr
FC Obermais
1 : 1
Conegliano
19 Apr
Conegliano
1 : 1
Luparense FC
12 Apr
Treviso
1 : 2
Conegliano
02 Apr
Conegliano
3 : 2
Clodiense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)