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Aduana Stars vs Young Apostles

Ghana Ghana

Premier League 2025/2026 Agyeman Badu Stadium, Dormaa Ahenkro
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Mensah P.
36' Event
Issah H.
44'
Amankwah S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Aduana Stars and Young Apostles finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aduana Stars.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Aduana Stars
15%
Draws
32%
Young Apostles
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aduana Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Young Apostles haven't matched Aduana Stars's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Aduana Stars a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Aduana Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Young Apostles Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aduana Stars Young Apostles
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 0.89 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premier League
Aduana Stars vs Young Apostles
3:1
Dec 28, 2025 Premier League
Young Apostles vs Aduana Stars
2:2
Apr 2, 2025 Premier League
Aduana Stars vs Young Apostles
2:2
Sep 29, 2024 Premier League
Young Apostles vs Aduana Stars
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aduana Stars Compare

Top Goalscorer Mensah P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adjei B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Young Apostles Compare

Top Goalscorer Issah H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aduana Stars 95 / 100
Young Apostles 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aduana Stars Young Apostles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aduana Stars Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.

Young Apostles has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Aduana Stars went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Young Apostles lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aduana Stars VS Young Apostles
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aduana Stars

(Home)
04 Oct
Aduana Stars
2 : 1
Swedru All Blacks
27 Sept
Asante Kotoko
0 : 2
Aduana Stars
20 Sept
Aduana Stars
2 : 1
Karela
13 Sept
Aduana Stars
0 : 1
Samartex
06 Sept
Heart of Lions
0 : 0
Aduana Stars
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Young Apostles

(Away)
27 Sept
Young Apostles
1 : 2
Heart of Lions
20 Sept
Debibi United
3 : 0
Young Apostles
13 Sept
Young Apostles
1 : 0
Holy Stars
05 Sept
Vision
3 : 0
Young Apostles
24 May
Young Apostles
2 : 0
Samartex
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medeama 34 17 11 6 52:28 62
2 Bibiani Gold Stars 34 19 3 12 46:40 60
3 Hearts of Oak 34 13 15 6 25:15 54
4 Dreams FC 34 15 7 12 49:32 52
5 Samartex 34 13 11 10 26:25 50
6 Aduana Stars 34 13 11 10 29:24 50
7 Berekum Chelsea 34 14 8 12 35:33 50
8 Asante Kotoko 34 13 10 11 41:29 49
9 Karela 34 13 10 11 32:33 49
10 Bechem United 34 13 8 13 38:39 47
11 Vision 34 12 11 11 38:34 47
12 Holy Stars 34 13 7 14 30:39 46
13 Young Apostles 34 12 9 13 37:37 45
14 Heart of Lions 34 12 9 13 36:33 45
15 Swedru All Blacks 34 12 9 13 34:31 45
16 Nations FC 34 12 8 14 30:31 44
17 Hohoe United 34 7 9 18 22:50 30
18 Eleven Wonders 34 3 4 27 26:73 13
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)