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AE Altos vs Ferroviario-PI

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2023
Sun, Feb 5, 2023
3 - 0
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AE Altos host Ferroviario-PI in the Piauiense 2023. AE Altos are expected to control this from the start. Ferroviario-PI have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while AE Altos have conceded 1.5 and scored 0.88. Head-to-head, AE Altos have won 2 to Ferroviario-PI's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2023, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward AE Altos. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
AE Altos
6%
Draws
4%
Ferroviario-PI
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: AE Altos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AE Altos come out ahead of Ferroviario-PI on wins alone.
  • AE Altos are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Piauiense 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
AE Altos Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviario-PI Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AE Altos Ferroviario-PI
Matches Played 46 14
Wins 19 0
Draws 12 0
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2023 Piauiense
Ferroviario-PI vs AE Altos
0:3
Feb 5, 2023 Piauiense
AE Altos vs Ferroviario-PI
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AE Altos 85 / 100
Ferroviario-PI 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AE Altos Ferroviario-PI

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Ferroviario-PI registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

AE Altos found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (46 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: AE Altos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AE Altos VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1River-PI1494129:1131
2Fluminense-PI1494124:931
3AE Altos1474321:1025
4Parnahyba1448217:1120
5Julho Esporte1444614:1416
6Corisabba1444620:1813
7Comercial PI1450913:2312
8Ferroviario-PI1400140:420