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AEA Aracatuba vs Colorado Caieiras - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Hugo Cordeiro

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 game between AEA Aracatuba and Colorado Caieiras finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AEA Aracatuba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
AEA Aracatuba
20%
Draws
80%
Colorado Caieiras
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Colorado Caieiras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AEA Aracatuba come out ahead of Colorado Caieiras on wins alone.
  • Model gives Colorado Caieiras a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista A4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Colorado Caieiras have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
AEA Aracatuba Clean Sheet 14%
Colorado Caieiras Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEA Aracatuba Colorado Caieiras
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 8 7
Draws 4 14
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 0.74 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Paulista A4
AEA Aracatuba vs Colorado Caieiras
1:0
Feb 22, 2025 Paulista A4
Colorado Caieiras vs AEA Aracatuba
2:0
Aug 31, 2024 Paulista B
AEA Aracatuba vs Colorado Caieiras
0:3
Aug 24, 2024 Paulista B
Colorado Caieiras vs AEA Aracatuba
2:1
Jul 27, 2024 Paulista B
Colorado Caieiras vs AEA Aracatuba
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEA Aracatuba Compare

Top Goalscorer Hugo Cordeiro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Colorado Caieiras Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEA Aracatuba 19 / 100
Colorado Caieiras 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEA Aracatuba Colorado Caieiras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colorado Caieiras Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Colorado Caieiras conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Colorado Caieiras's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

AEA Aracatuba's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

AEA Aracatuba VS Colorado Caieiras
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AEA Aracatuba

(Home)
04 Apr
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 3
Jabaquara
28 Mar
Penapolense
6 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
25 Mar
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 4
Vocem
21 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
18 Mar
AEA Aracatuba
2 : 3
Nacional SP
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Colorado Caieiras

(Away)
04 Apr
Colorado Caieiras
0 : 0
Penapolense
28 Mar
Tanabi
0 : 0
Colorado Caieiras
25 Mar
Colorado Caieiras
0 : 4
Sao Caetano
21 Mar
Nacional SP
4 : 1
Colorado Caieiras
18 Mar
Colorado Caieiras
0 : 2
ECUS SP
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 15 10 3 2 21:6 33
2 Sao Caetano 15 9 2 4 23:14 29
3 Penapolense 15 8 5 2 22:10 29
4 Sao-Carlense 15 7 5 3 20:13 26
5 Barretos EC 15 7 5 3 12:10 26
6 Taquaritinga 15 7 3 5 20:13 24
7 Jacarei FC 15 6 5 4 11:9 23
8 Lemense 15 6 4 5 14:12 22
9 ECUS SP 15 5 7 3 11:6 22
10 Comercial 15 6 2 7 17:16 20
11 Tanabi 15 4 6 5 12:10 18
12 Jabaquara 15 4 4 7 14:17 16
13 Vocem 15 3 6 6 12:13 15
14 Colorado Caieiras 15 1 7 7 6:20 10
15 Nacional SP 15 2 2 11 7:22 8
16 AEA Aracatuba 15 1 2 12 6:37 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista B (Main)