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AEA Aracatuba vs Comercial

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
AEA Aracatuba Logo

AEA Aracatuba

0 - 0
FT
Comercial Logo

Comercial

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 game between AEA Aracatuba and Comercial finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
AEA Aracatuba
15%
Draws
85%
Comercial
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Comercial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Comercial come out ahead of AEA Aracatuba on wins alone.
  • Model gives Comercial a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
AEA Aracatuba Clean Sheet 10%
Comercial Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEA Aracatuba Comercial
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.7 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.93 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.57 2.62
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Paulista A4
AEA Aracatuba vs Comercial
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEA Aracatuba 10 / 100
Comercial 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEA Aracatuba Comercial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comercial has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Comercial registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

AEA Aracatuba found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

AEA Aracatuba VS Comercial
0.4 Goals Scored 1.63
3.6 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
80% Over 2.5 50%
60% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AEA Aracatuba

(Home)
04 Apr
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 3
Jabaquara
28 Mar
Penapolense
6 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
25 Mar
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 4
Vocem
21 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
18 Mar
AEA Aracatuba
2 : 3
Nacional SP
Page 1 of 6

Comercial

(Away)
19 Sept
Sao Jose EC
3 : 0
Comercial
13 Sept
Comercial
0 : 0
Sao Jose EC
05 Sept
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 1
Comercial
31 Aug
Comercial
2 : 0
EC Sao Bernardo
22 Aug
Noroeste
4 : 3
Comercial
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 15 10 3 2 21:6 33
2 Sao Caetano 15 9 2 4 23:14 29
3 Penapolense 15 8 5 2 22:10 29
4 Sao-Carlense 15 7 5 3 20:13 26
5 Barretos EC 15 7 5 3 12:10 26
6 Taquaritinga 15 7 3 5 20:13 24
7 Jacarei FC 15 6 5 4 11:9 23
8 Lemense 15 6 4 5 14:12 22
9 ECUS SP 15 5 7 3 11:6 22
10 Comercial 15 6 2 7 17:16 20
11 Tanabi 15 4 6 5 12:10 18
12 Jabaquara 15 4 4 7 14:17 16
13 Vocem 15 3 6 6 12:13 15
14 Colorado Caieiras 15 1 7 7 6:20 10
15 Nacional SP 15 2 2 11 7:22 8
16 AEA Aracatuba 15 1 2 12 6:37 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista B (Main)