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AEA Aracatuba vs Vocem

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
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Match Events

3' Event
Lucas Pastor
14' Event
Goularte V.
32'
Miguel

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 game between AEA Aracatuba and Vocem finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vocem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
AEA Aracatuba
15%
Draws
85%
Vocem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vocem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • AEA Aracatuba have managed 0.74 goals a game lately — Vocem are scoring more at 1.
  • Model gives Vocem a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista A4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
AEA Aracatuba Clean Sheet 15%
Vocem Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEA Aracatuba Vocem
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 4 12
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.74 1
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Paulista A4
AEA Aracatuba vs Vocem
0:4
Feb 19, 2025 Paulista A4
Vocem vs AEA Aracatuba
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEA Aracatuba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Vocem Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Pastor
2 Goals
Assists Leader Goularte V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEA Aracatuba 10 / 100
Vocem 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEA Aracatuba Vocem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VOC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Vocem conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

AEA Aracatuba's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Vocem lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AEA Aracatuba VS Vocem
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AEA Aracatuba

(Home)
04 Apr
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 3
Jabaquara
28 Mar
Penapolense
6 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
25 Mar
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 4
Vocem
21 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
18 Mar
AEA Aracatuba
2 : 3
Nacional SP
Page 1 of 7

Vocem

(Away)
04 Apr
Sao Caetano
0 : 2
Vocem
28 Mar
Vocem
0 : 1
Jacarei FC
25 Mar
AEA Aracatuba
0 : 4
Vocem
21 Mar
Vocem
2 : 1
Lemense
18 Mar
Comercial
3 : 1
Vocem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 15 10 3 2 21:6 33
2 Sao Caetano 15 9 2 4 23:14 29
3 Penapolense 15 8 5 2 22:10 29
4 Sao-Carlense 15 7 5 3 20:13 26
5 Barretos EC 15 7 5 3 12:10 26
6 Taquaritinga 15 7 3 5 20:13 24
7 Jacarei FC 15 6 5 4 11:9 23
8 Lemense 15 6 4 5 14:12 22
9 ECUS SP 15 5 7 3 11:6 22
10 Comercial 15 6 2 7 17:16 20
11 Tanabi 15 4 6 5 12:10 18
12 Jabaquara 15 4 4 7 14:17 16
13 Vocem 15 3 6 6 12:13 15
14 Colorado Caieiras 15 1 7 7 6:20 10
15 Nacional SP 15 2 2 11 7:22 8
16 AEA Aracatuba 15 1 2 12 6:37 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista B (Main)