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Stadium Background

Monterrey vs Nashville SC

North & Central America North & Central America

Leagues Cup Geodis Park, Nashville, TN
Thu, Aug 13, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Monterrey have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.36 conceded recently, against Nashville SC's 1.58 scored and 0.84 conceded. Head-to-head, Monterrey have won 0 to Nashville SC's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2023, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.25) point toward Nashville SC. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Monterrey
20%
Draws
40%
Nashville SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Nashville SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Monterrey a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Nashville SC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nashville SC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Monterrey Clean Sheet 19%
Nashville SC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterrey Nashville SC
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2023 Leagues Cup
Monterrey vs Nashville SC
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterrey 40 / 100
Nashville SC 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterrey Nashville SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterrey scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Monterrey stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Nashville SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Monterrey VS Nashville SC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Monterrey

(Home)
05 Aug
Monterrey
1 : 2
Orlando City
02 Aug
Atlas
0 : 2
Monterrey
26 Jul
Necaxa
2 : 1
Monterrey
19 Jul
Monterrey
3 : 2
Santos Laguna
04 Jul
Atlante
1 : 1
Monterrey
Page 1 of 6

Nashville SC

(Away)
06 Aug
Nashville SC
0 : 1
Club Leon
01 Aug
DC United
2 : 2
Nashville SC
25 Jul
Orlando City
1 : 0
Nashville SC
23 Jul
Nashville SC
1 : 0
CF Montreal
18 Jul
Nashville SC
1 : 0
Atlanta United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Club America 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Juarez 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Cruz Azul 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Atlante 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Club Leon 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Tigres UANL 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
8 Guadalajara Chivas 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
9 Monterrey 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
10 Atletico San Luis 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
11 Atlas 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
12 Pachuca 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
13 Santos Laguna 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
14 Necaxa 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
15 Queretaro 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
16 Club Tijuana 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
17 Puebla 1 0 0 1 2:5 0
18 UNAM Pumas 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 1 1 0 0 5:2 3
2 Charlotte FC 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Inter Miami 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
4 Columbus Crew 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
5 FC Cincinnati 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
6 FC Dallas 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
7 Chicago Fire 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
8 New York City 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 Austin FC 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Orlando City 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
11 Los Angeles FC 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
12 Real Salt Lake 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
13 Minnesota United 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
14 Vancouver Whitecaps 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Philadelphia Union 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
16 Nashville SC 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
17 San Diego FC 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
18 Seattle Sounders 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)