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Monterrey vs Nashville SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

Leagues Cup Geodis Park, Nashville, TN
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Qasem A.
23'
Rodriguez J.
42'
Muyl A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Monterrey
30%
Draws
37%
Nashville SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nashville SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Nashville SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Nashville SC a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Nashville SC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nashville SC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Monterrey Clean Sheet 10%
Nashville SC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterrey Nashville SC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.66 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 Leagues Cup
Monterrey vs Nashville SC
2:1
Aug 16, 2023 Leagues Cup
Monterrey vs Nashville SC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monterrey Compare

Top Goalscorer Pineda O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cuypers H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Nashville SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Qasem A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterrey 22 / 100
Nashville SC 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterrey Nashville SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nashville SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:6
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterrey scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Monterrey stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Nashville SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Monterrey VS Nashville SC
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Monterrey

(Home)
03 Oct
Monterrey
2 : 1
Toluca
26 Sept
Atlante
4 : 2
Monterrey
20 Sept
Monterrey
1 : 0
Cruz Azul
13 Sept
Monterrey
0 : 0
Tigres UANL
07 Sept
Toluca
2 : 0
Monterrey
Page 1 of 6

Nashville SC

(Away)
27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0
Toronto FC
20 Sept
Nashville SC
3 : 0
Chicago Fire
12 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
Nashville SC
09 Sept
Toronto FC
2 : 1
Nashville SC
04 Sept
New York City
0 : 0
Nashville SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Leon 3 3 0 0 6:3 9
2 Club America 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toluca 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Monterrey 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
5 Cruz Azul 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
6 Juarez 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
7 Tigres UANL 3 3 0 0 2:2 6
8 Guadalajara Chivas 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
9 Santos Laguna 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
10 Pachuca 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
11 Atlas 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
12 Necaxa 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
13 Atlante 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
14 Atletico San Luis 3 0 0 3 5:10 1
15 UNAM Pumas 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
16 Queretaro 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
17 Club Tijuana 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
18 Puebla 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chicago Fire 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Austin FC 3 3 0 0 6:1 8
3 Columbus Crew 3 3 0 0 6:3 8
4 Real Salt Lake 3 2 0 1 8:1 7
5 Los Angeles FC 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
6 Charlotte FC 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
7 Portland Timbers 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
8 FC Cincinnati 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
9 FC Dallas 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
10 San Diego FC 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
11 Orlando City 3 2 0 1 5:5 5
12 Minnesota United 3 1 0 2 4:3 4
13 Nashville SC 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
14 Inter Miami 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
15 New York City 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
16 Seattle Sounders 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
17 Philadelphia Union 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
18 Vancouver Whitecaps 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)