Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aegir vs Afturelding

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 GeoSalmo vollurinn, Thorlakshofn
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Kooistra B.
Assist: Saevarsson A.
37'
Stojanovic N.
40'
Cogic E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Aegir and Afturelding finished 0-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afturelding.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Aegir
15%
Draws
76%
Afturelding
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Afturelding

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Afturelding come out ahead of Aegir on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Afturelding's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • Afturelding have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Aegir Clean Sheet 10%
Afturelding Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aegir Afturelding
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 20
Draws 3 3
Losses 22 7
Goals Scored 1.35 3
Goals Conceded 2.81 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Division 1
Aegir vs Afturelding
0:7
Jun 29, 2026 Division 1
Afturelding vs Aegir
8:1
Sep 9, 2023 Division 1
Afturelding vs Aegir
5:0
Jul 7, 2023 Division 1
Aegir vs Afturelding
1:4
Jul 27, 2016 Division 2
Aegir vs Afturelding
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aegir Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Afturelding Compare

Top Goalscorer Dadason R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kooistra B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aegir 10 / 100
Afturelding 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aegir Afturelding

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afturelding Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.40 goals per match.

Aegir scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Afturelding conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Aegir remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aegir VS Afturelding
1.13 Goals Scored 3.5
4.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Aegir

(Home)
05 Sept
Aegir
1 : 1
Grindavik
28 Aug
Throttur
7 : 2
Aegir
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7
Afturelding
17 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
6 : 1
Aegir
13 Aug
Aegir
0 : 2
Volsungur
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Afturelding

(Away)
11 Sept
Afturelding
1 : 2
Breidablik
05 Sept
Njardvik
2 : 1
Afturelding
29 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Vestri
25 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Grotta
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7
Afturelding
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 14 3 5 65:33 45
2 Throttur 22 13 4 5 50:25 43
3 Fylkir 22 13 1 8 49:36 40
4 Kopavogur 22 12 2 8 52:40 38
5 Njardvik 22 12 2 8 38:29 38
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 34:33 28
7 IR Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 40:46 28
8 Grotta 22 8 3 11 36:43 27
9 Vestri 22 8 3 11 30:43 27
10 Volsungur 22 7 5 10 32:44 26
11 Grindavik 22 5 10 7 25:35 25
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 25:69 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)