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Aegir vs Grindavik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 GeoSalmo vollurinn, Thorlakshofn
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Ragnarsson H.
Assist: Eysteinsson H.
57'
Sub
Stojanovic N. In: Thorbergsson K. A.
Out: Stojanovic N.
60'
Fridriksson S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Aegir
30%
Draws
62%
Grindavik
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grindavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Grindavik lately — more wins on the board than Aegir.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Grindavik taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Aegir Clean Sheet 10%
Grindavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aegir Grindavik
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 8
Draws 3 12
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 1.3 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.83 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 1
Aegir vs Grindavik
1:1
Jun 26, 2026 Division 1
Grindavik vs Aegir
0:0
Aug 25, 2023 Division 1
Grindavik vs Aegir
7:2
Jun 22, 2023 Division 1
Aegir vs Grindavik
1:3
May 14, 2013 Icelandic Cup
Aegir vs Grindavik
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aegir Compare

Top Goalscorer Thrastarson D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Grindavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Ragnarsson H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aegir 10 / 100
Grindavik 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aegir Grindavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grindavik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Aegir found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Grindavik conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Aegir remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aegir VS Grindavik
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
4.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aegir

(Home)
05 Sept
Aegir
1 : 1
Grindavik
28 Aug
Throttur
7 : 2
Aegir
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7
Afturelding
17 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
6 : 1
Aegir
13 Aug
Aegir
0 : 2
Volsungur
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Grindavik

(Away)
05 Sept
Aegir
1 : 1
Grindavik
29 Aug
Grindavik
4 : 3
Kopavogur
22 Aug
Fylkir
6 : 1
Grindavik
17 Aug
Grindavik
0 : 0
Grotta
13 Aug
Grindavik
2 : 1
Throttur
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 14 3 5 65:33 45
2 Throttur 22 13 4 5 50:25 43
3 Fylkir 22 13 1 8 49:36 40
4 Kopavogur 22 12 2 8 52:40 38
5 Njardvik 22 12 2 8 38:29 38
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 34:33 28
7 IR Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 40:46 28
8 Grotta 22 8 3 11 36:43 27
9 Vestri 22 8 3 11 30:43 27
10 Volsungur 22 7 5 10 32:44 26
11 Grindavik 22 5 10 7 25:35 25
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 25:69 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)