Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aegir vs IBU

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2021
4 - 0
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Rolin C.
34' Event
Eythorsson B.
45' Event
Halldorsson E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Aegir advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Aegir
15%
Draws
85%
IBU
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IBU

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • IBU haven't matched Aegir's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Aegir a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Aegir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aegir, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Aegir Clean Sheet 15%
IBU Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aegir IBU
Matches Played 35 11
Wins 10 3
Draws 2 0
Losses 23 8
Goals Scored 1.51 1.91
Goals Conceded 2.49 4.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2021 Icelandic Cup
Aegir vs IBU
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aegir Compare

Top Goalscorer Eythorsson B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rolin C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

IBU Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aegir 35 / 100
IBU 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aegir IBU

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IBU let in goals in 91% of their last 11 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Aegir scored in 71% of their last 35 games.

IBU's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aegir VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aegir

(Home)
28 Aug
Throttur
7 : 2
Aegir
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7
Afturelding
17 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
6 : 1
Aegir
13 Aug
Aegir
0 : 2
Volsungur
06 Aug
IR Reykjavik
3 : 2
Aegir
Page 1 of 7

IBU

(Away)
22 Mar
Augnablik
12 : 1
IBU
29 Mar
IBU
0 : 6
Hviti
06 Apr
Kari
5 : 0
IBU
19 Apr
KA Akureyri
5 : 0
IBU
08 Apr
IBU
4 : 3
KA Asvellir
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Midas 0
Augnablik 12
Aegir 4
IBU 0
Fjolnir -
TBD -
Bjorninn 0
KA Asvellir 3
KFG Gardabaer 0
Alftanes 2
Ellidi 2
IR Reykjavik 3
Selfoss 0
Kordrengir 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Reynir 1
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lettir 1
Vidir 2
Fram 8
Hordur Isafjordur 0
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alafoss 2
GG Grindavik 1
Njardvik 3
KH Hlidarendi 0
Kopavogur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 1
Throttur Vogar 3
TBD -
Grotta -
Berserkir 5
KFS 6
Kria 13
Afrika Reykjavik 1
KB Breidholt 1
Throttur 6
Olafsvik 18
Gullfalkinn 0
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Reynir Hellissandur 0
Afturelding 2
SR Reykjavik 1
RB Keflavik 0
Hamar 0
Vestri 3
Ymir 1
KFR 2
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Magni -
Smari 1
Grindavik 4
Hviti 4
Arborg 1
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Tindastoll 0
Volsungur 2
Kormakur/Hvot 2
Hamrarnir 3
Leiknir Faskruds -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn 7
Einherji 1
Fylkir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vatnaliljur 2
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
Ulfarnir 2
Isbjorninn 0
Dalvik/Reynir 7
Samherjar 1
TBD -
Fjallabyggd -
KFB 0
Stokkseyri 5
KM Reykjavik 0
Haukar 4
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjardabyggd -
TBD -
TBD -
Sindri -
Kari -
Vaengirs -
Snaefell 1
Skallagrimur 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
1/32-finals
Augnablik 4
Aegir 0
Fjolnir 7
KA Asvellir 1
Alftanes 0
IR Reykjavik 2
Kordrengir 3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Akranes -
TBD -
Vidir 0
Fram 2
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
Alafoss 0
Njardvik 5
Kopavogur -
TBD -
Throttur Vogar 1
Grotta 3
KFS 4
Kria 0
Throttur 1
Olafsvik 3
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Afturelding 8
SR Reykjavik 0
Vestri 1
KFR 0
Thor Akureyri 3
Magni 0
Grindavik 3
Hviti 0
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Volsungur 9
Hamrarnir 1
Leiknir Faskruds 3
Hottur / Huginn 0
Fylkir -
TBD -
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Ulfarnir 3
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Fjallabyggd 3
Stokkseyri 0
Haukar 7
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Fjardabyggd 0
Sindri 2
Kari 5
Skallagrimur 1
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
1/16-finals
Augnablik 1
Fjolnir 4
IR Reykjavik 3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0
Akranes 3
Fram 0
Hafnarfjordur 4
Njardvik 1
Kopavogur 2
Grotta 1
KFS 4
Olafsvik 2
Keflavik 2
Breidablik 0
Stjarnan 1
KA Akureyri 2
Afturelding 1
Vestri 2
Thor Akureyri 2
Grindavik 1
Valur 2
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Volsungur 2
Leiknir Faskruds 1
Fylkir 7
Ulfarnir 0
Fjallabyggd 1
Haukar 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Sindri 0
Kari 1
KR Reykjavik 2
1/8-finals
Fjolnir 2
IR Reykjavik 3
Akranes 1
Hafnarfjordur 0
Kopavogur 7
KFS 1
Keflavik 3
KA Akureyri 1
Vestri 4
Thor Akureyri 0
Valur 6
Volsungur 0
Fylkir 2
Haukar 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
KR Reykjavik 1
Quarter-finals
IR Reykjavik 1
Akranes 3
Kopavogur 3
Keflavik 5
Vestri 2
Valur 1
Fylkir 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
Semi-finals
Akranes 2
Keflavik 0
Vestri 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Final
Akranes 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 3