Sport Picks
AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Cyprus
Cyprus League AEK Arena, Larnaca 
AI Match Summary
AEK Larnaca host Apollon Limassol in the Cyprus League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: AEK Larnaca at 1.68 goals for, 1.16 against; Apollon Limassol at 1.9 for, 1.45 against. Head-to-head, AEK Larnaca have won 2 to Apollon Limassol's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 3, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.69 - 1.63) back AEK Larnaca to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Apollon Limassol haven't matched AEK Larnaca's recent run of results.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Cyprus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AEK Larnaca | Apollon Limassol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: AEK Larnaca remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
AEK Larnaca scored in 77% of their last 31 games.
Apollon Limassol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
AEK Larnaca
(Home)Apollon Limassol
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 2 | Apollon Limassol | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 21:10 | 16 |
| 3 | Omonia | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:6 | 15 |
| 4 | AEL Limassol | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:13 | 15 |
| 5 | Pafos | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 6 | Aris Limassol | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | 12 |
| 7 | APOEL | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Omonia 29th May | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 9 | Karmiotissa | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:16 | 6 |
| 10 | Anorthosis | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:13 | 6 |
| 11 | Omonia Aradippou | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | 6 |
| 12 | Ol. Nicosia | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 11:13 | 6 |
| 13 | Nea Salamis | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 5 |
| 14 | Krasava | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:17 | 5 |
