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AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Bajic R.
66' Event
Bajic R.
90' Event
Andereggen N.

AI Match Summary

AEK Larnaca in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AEK Larnaca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
AEK Larnaca
30%
Draws
23%
Apollon Limassol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AEK Larnaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • AEK Larnaca have won more games recently than Apollon Limassol.
  • Model gives AEK Larnaca a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
AEK Larnaca Clean Sheet 68%
Apollon Limassol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEK Larnaca Apollon Limassol
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.59 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Club Friendly
AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol
3:0
Jul 16, 2026 Club Friendly
Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca
0:0
May 6, 2026 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol
1:0
Apr 5, 2026 Cyprus League
Apollon Limassol vs AEK Larnaca
1:1
Feb 14, 2026 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEK Larnaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Bajic R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Andereggen N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Apollon Limassol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEK Larnaca 95 / 100
Apollon Limassol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEK Larnaca Apollon Limassol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Larnaca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEK Larnaca found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Apollon Limassol let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: AEK Larnaca stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

AEK Larnaca VS Apollon Limassol
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AEK Larnaca

(Home)
03 Oct
AEK Larnaca
3 : 0
Apollon Limassol
27 Sept
AEK Larnaca
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
18 Sept
Omonia 29th May
1 : 2
AEK Larnaca
13 Sept
AEK Larnaca
0 : 1
Pafos
06 Sept
Nea Salamis
1 : 4
AEK Larnaca
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Apollon Limassol

(Away)
03 Oct
AEK Larnaca
3 : 0
Apollon Limassol
19 Sept
Apollon Limassol
2 : 2
APOEL
12 Sept
Omonia
0 : 0
Apollon Limassol
05 Sept
Apollon Limassol
3 : 1
Anorthosis
29 Aug
Aris Limassol
2 : 2
Apollon Limassol
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