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AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Anthimou K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between AEK Larnaca and Omonia Aradippou finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Omonia Aradippou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
AEK Larnaca
35%
Draws
24%
Omonia Aradippou
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AEK Larnaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AEK Larnaca come out ahead of Omonia Aradippou on wins alone.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on AEK Larnaca taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
AEK Larnaca Clean Sheet 20%
Omonia Aradippou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEK Larnaca Omonia Aradippou
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.65 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 Cyprus League
Omonia Aradippou vs AEK Larnaca
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 Cyprus League
Omonia Aradippou vs AEK Larnaca
2:0
Dec 6, 2024 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEK Larnaca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Omonia Aradippou Compare

Top Goalscorer Anthimou K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEK Larnaca 76 / 100
Omonia Aradippou 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEK Larnaca Omonia Aradippou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Larnaca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEK Larnaca's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Omonia Aradippou has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

AEK Larnaca has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AEK Larnaca VS Omonia Aradippou
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AEK Larnaca

(Home)
03 Oct
AEK Larnaca
3 : 0
Apollon Limassol
27 Sept
AEK Larnaca
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
18 Sept
Omonia 29th May
1 : 2
AEK Larnaca
13 Sept
AEK Larnaca
0 : 1
Pafos
06 Sept
Nea Salamis
1 : 4
AEK Larnaca
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Omonia Aradippou

(Away)
20 Sept
Omonia Aradippou
1 : 1
Ol. Nicosia
12 Sept
Karmiotissa
1 : 1
Omonia Aradippou
05 Sept
Omonia Aradippou
2 : 1
Krasava
31 Aug
Omonia
0 : 0
Omonia Aradippou
22 Aug
Omonia Aradippou
0 : 0
Krasava
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