Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AEK Larnaca vs Omonia

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League 2025/2026 AEK Arena, Larnaca
AEK Larnaca Logo

AEK Larnaca

0 - 2
FT
Omonia Logo

Omonia

Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Ivanovic D.
32' Event
Mmaee R.
60'
Sub
Izquierdo J. In: Rubio W.
Out: Izquierdo J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Cyprus League 2025/2026 game between AEK Larnaca and Omonia finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Omonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
AEK Larnaca
33%
Draws
40%
Omonia
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Omonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Omonia come out ahead of AEK Larnaca on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Omonia taking it.
  • Regular Cyprus League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
AEK Larnaca Clean Sheet 11%
Omonia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEK Larnaca Omonia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 20
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Cyprus League
Omonia vs AEK Larnaca
1:1
Apr 14, 2026 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia
0:2
Jan 14, 2026 Cyprus Cup
Omonia vs AEK Larnaca
2:1
Dec 15, 2025 Cyprus League
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia
1:1
Sep 17, 2025 Cyprus League
Omonia vs AEK Larnaca
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEK Larnaca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Omonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Mmaee R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEK Larnaca 27 / 100
Omonia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEK Larnaca Omonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OMO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AEK Larnaca scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Omonia has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

AEK Larnaca has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AEK Larnaca VS Omonia
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AEK Larnaca

(Home)
23 Jul
AEK Larnaca
0 : 1
Beitar Jerusalem
16 Jul
Apollon Limassol
0 : 0
AEK Larnaca
10 Jul
Ajax
1 : 0
AEK Larnaca
07 Jul
PAOK
3 : 2
AEK Larnaca
04 Jul
Helmond Sport
1 : 2
AEK Larnaca
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Omonia

(Away)
22 Jul
Omonia
1 : 0
Kairat Almaty
16 Jul
Omonia
2 : 1
Panetolikos
09 Jul
Korona Kielce
0 : 0
Omonia
05 Jul
Omonia
2 : 2
H. Beer Sheva
01 Jul
Omonia
2 : 1
Dinamo Bucuresti
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Omonia36276388:2487
2AEK Larnaca36209762:3369
3Apollon Limassol36207952:4167
4Pafos361881066:3862
5APOEL361571453:4552
6Aris Limassol361491361:4551
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)